With December quickly coming to a disappointing end for many, it's time to move onto January and "peak" winter discussion.
12z gfs on 12/18 shows a vicious New Year's cutter to start the month, lots of 40's and 50's. We'll see if that holds.
I was somewhat excited for December, and it's been a good month for interior, but shit the bed locally and much of SNE. Snowfall-wise. Very fickle to forecast months in advance. Temp forecast on point though
I'd much rather it cuts a bit, than being fringed with a southern low. If it's gonna be big. Nothing worse than being high and dry across 2/3 of NE. Plus that would snow here
12z JMA looks dangerous. But to me intuitively it would probably at least hug the coast, rather than transfer south of us. SN mix to rain look. Speaking for SE NE