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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. We'll see. I've always been on board with a swipe or perhaps near-miss of SNE, that's easily doable. The wild solutions, never say never but I'll stay away for now.
  2. Yeah that looks good, 250mb jet near/ over St. Lawrence River which is typical of NE hurricanes
  3. Yeah you are assuming the motion will continue, but there's no reason to think that
  4. Can you show me the latter panels where it strikes? Every run I have seen ends with Lee SE of CC
  5. Not bad, you can see a clear shift.
  6. Typically you want that further NW honestly, these adjustments won't cut it for SNE. Canada sure
  7. You meant sig jump west, but yeah you're right. Need that eastern side to start jumping ship very very far west and soon
  8. IPA's and floods galore here. 2.17" so far today and crushing
  9. I'll pass on lee, hoping for that 2nd one though. Great track and strength, let's get after it.
  10. big flooding maybe, but not much wind damage besides maybe AEMATT
  11. Euro much much faster with the track than yesterday's weenie run
  12. Hopefully the core is off the coast hundreds of miles SW of them
  13. ICON and GGEM (eh, i know) into Nova Scotia
  14. There remains a significant amount of spread in both the deterministic and ensemble guidance on when this turn occurs, and then how quickly Lee accelerates northward. For now the NHC track forecast remains closest to the consensus aids, which have slowed a bit from the prior cycle, and the latest track forecast is a bit slower but near the same trajectory as the prior advisory.
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