Ruin

wait they use the same model but show a different snow map?

i understand we dont have a good cold air mass and 2 the moisture field is not as robust and is moving to fast. given the wind swings from last night through tonight models cut way back but then they back up . i guess good luck to every one

so all the models are increasing totals again by a bit or holding serve. as I see some forecasts being lowered this is honestly a head scratcher.

Oh nice covering up a good range incase the storm does one thing or another. I remember years back they sent some one to the reported center of a blizzard. It moved like 100 miles south and you could see Jim really pissed off in the middle of light rain and temps in the 40s

thanks

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total accumulations of 4 to 7 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 8 AM to 10 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The snow will likely be heavy at times between noon and 7 pm, then diminish significantly thereafter. A change to mixed precipitation is possible by early evening south and east of interstate 81. Updated for me earlier it was 4-8 so they knocked off 1 inch from the high point not to bad honestly Ill take 5 lol. worked called me and said limited shifts for tomorrow. I go in at 8am tho instead of 10 but I get out at 4. so maybe during the heavy part of the storm

weather channel was reported to be setting up in harrisburg has any one seen Jim C in harrisburg he loves thundersnow

talks in here early about the hrrr model sometimes overdoes precip and or warmer temps lately so who knows. im seeing any where from 1-2 inchs from the nws calling 4-8 but could be close to 10. So I have a 9 inch spread lol better luck in vegas

maybe maybe not last night's early this morning signs up a warm tongue coming from MD into southern PA in latest model runs is now showing to be colder and mix or rain is south of PA/MD line. Maybe it will pan out maybe it wont

at 29/21 went down to pick up food temp was 35 I came out 20 mins later and it was down to 29 when i got back home double checked both thermometers. Still clear not even high lvl clouds yet.

so question Im seeing it starts about 10-11 in my area local future radar from the news is saying it ends by 7pm? I was looking at other future radar they have it lasting till 10pm-12am some models suggest wrap around till sunday 10am but normally wrap around doesnt pan out to good in my area. WSW goes till 10am I think kind of odd the locals showing it ends at 7pm? I know storms tend to end earlier then the alert calls for but more then 12 hours later?

damn nice id laugh my arse off if we get thundersnow in harrisburg is Jim around?

https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/snow-expected-to-arrive-saturday/vi-AA1mu9fF?rc=1&ocid=winp1taskbar&cvid=6ce8d19c60034850fc15e319bbfa9051&ei=29 maybe this is why many locals are still calling for a mix of rain snow and a mix up past harrisburg

Was out shopping today on my day off. Local stores are surprisingly empty for a fri afternoon thought for sure id have to wait in a line at giant and weis. not in and out hardly any people I dont know if this is case people understand you dont need 3 loafs of bread 2 gallons of milk and 64 eggs for a snow storm under 18 inchs lol. honestly the only snow storms I ever needed things cause we got snowed in was 1993 superstorm and 2011 storm juno. For juno I didnt get plowed out for a darn week. Or could be the fact after the last 3 years people dont buy when the weather guys call for snow any more.

So tired of the same song and dance with model showing snow then up to the day before just be like no no no now a mix right away to cold rain or dry slotting and now transfer to a coastal

im so confused atm bigger models suggest nah hold up no big storm a few inchs the other models are like hold my beer. holds serve to maybe slightly higher amounts. I will say this that this storm better not up and disappear like a fart in the wind

So I always had a question about when it snows and rains or mixed precip with rain at the same time. we always see the cross section of all snow then snow melting then freezing again into sleet. then snow melting and only the surface is below freezing. How the heck does the cross section of that look like? ive never seen any explication in a cross section how you can have so many different types of precip going on in the same area. Also seeing it snow at 44 even tho it doesnt lay when I was younger always was like huh how lol.

I remember the days of the king euro almost always being right in winter. its sad now that its been so off lately. GFS for the last few years is a bit more accurate but even then it throws out stupid solutions days and days on until it finally comes into some sort of good forecast. Is it me or has the reliability of models come down after they did the big upgrade to the models years back?

nice to see the snow rats near harrisburg blow up from 5 inchs back to 9 plus considering all the locals are showing nothing but rain for the last few hours of the storm in the area. dunno if they were in house models or the national ones. but I havent seen the rain in the area on recent models so a bit confused.

lol yeah

He has an extreme bias when it comes to snow cold. it feels like he always rubs salt in your eyes when a storm doesnt pan out

what I dislike about abc27 when they do the intro to weather. they say your most accurate forecast . 1 where are they getting this from what agency say your the most accurate 2 what is the % of the accuracy?

fair enough I dont normally either but I just wanted to see what they claimed we would get

yeah I saw abc 27 trying to say a good part of the storm would be ending as rain in the area. but I laughed at it when they showed a radar having all snow all the way down to northern MD and never showed it going to rain over south central PA. Then he was like this radar doesnt reflect my idea of the precip type. Then why did you show this version of the radar? if they are doing a different model run in house show that run that lines up with what you are saying

honestly this is odd even the fact it was this far out ok. but having it down south or slightly off the coast to now it being a western lake cutter is very odd. considering this was the time frame where all the cold air was suppose to start pushing the storm south cause of suppression. I guess the cold air is now being pushed back another week if this this goes this far west? I mean this is a few thousand mile change