Ruin

so not only didnt it get to the high of 66 like forecasted still 58. This up coming weeks temps were now pushed 10-13 lower from what was just forecasted last friday for next week. I saw near 70 for a few days now highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. 

4 hours ago, sauss06 said:

got warmer then i expected. Sunny 54

I find it more and more they are wrong over the temps low or high then they have ever been before the last 10 years or so.

2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

 

I wasn't trying to complain or argue with you. I was only making an observation that the actual high today was way higher than what State College forecast, which unfortunately is not uncommon. My high today was 11 degrees higher than forecast. That's worth posting about.

 

 

I feel like they are wrong more often then right about temps

33 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

The front on Friday was an occluded front that had clouds and some slightly cooler air but not a true cold front.   It was always supposed to be in the upper 50's and 60's this weekend (always as in the last few days.)  If the NWS was calling for low 50's, take it up with them for their inability to forecast.  Here is the GFS from Wed for today.  Sure, it got 5-8 degrees higher, but it was not supposed to be BN this weekend.  The Icon was closer to reality.    Again, this is the model from 5 days ago.

this is the main reason why I just dont trust forecasts/forecasters esp during the winter months. Just like back in the second half of feb that big cold outbreak the temp guidance kept saying was coming got pushed back pushed back and then nothing. Nothing is done when they make huge mistakes it feels every time they upgrade a model they get worse. yeah sure they may have a few storms they get right. but what is the actually accuracy lvl of forecast models? Anywhere I can look that tells me how accurate models are including the temp guidance model?

So much for that cold front we had early fri. My temps yesterday and today are about 8-10 higher then forecasted sitting at 62 when my forecast was 53????

6 hours ago, mahantango#1 said:

62 was the high today.

lol I thought when a cold front goes through the next day should be colder? it was 58 fri for me and today 62 not really a cold front was it 

lol I dont think that last snow map will even happen any where close in PA maybe ere maybe.

i guess its time for bugs humidity and tstorms soon. At least we got some snow this winter 

winter is over sadly at least it was better then last year.

7 hours ago, Jns2183 said:

White rain

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yep no way any of that really lays. it would be a messy wet snow that maybe would take down some trees. ground lvl temp is at 41 throw my thermal camera.

On 2/27/2024 at 6:44 AM, Bubbler86 said:

That gets proven wrong almost every year. 

I dont have faith in a storm that far out any way 

ground is going to be so warm the next week from 50s and 60s I doubt even if it does snow we get any thing to lay?

I was outside around 2-3 am last night before going to bed had some rain mixed with wet snow. looked on radar and was like yep didnt think anything was said too happen last night. It was like 33 didnt amount to much just damp. Woke up at 7 things were still a bit damp. had to throw a few more logs on the fire today. Only went through 30% of firewood for the season. Plenty of left over wood for many bonfires come summer spring 

4 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The latest Euro Weeklies offer some hope for the last 2 weeks of March with a workable pattern & some cold air available.

after the models got the second half of feb cold and crapped the bed now its going to be warmer im just now buying it lol 

I find it suspicious that any time the temp guidance says warm it always happens and we get torched. but when it says cold for the up coming week or 2 its right maybe 3 times out of 10

33 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Harrisburg should have reached the “Above Normal Snow” club if that ridiculous band the other night hit 15 miles further south or if the band never existed which could have led to the system producing a more uniform 3 to 6 inches as modeled less than 24 hours out.

true I still want some one to reply to my post yesterday. I know I wasnt in that band but it still snowed heavy enough to lay during other snow storms Ive seen at night. it took the whole snow storm for it to lay on any thing but the cars.by the end of it just started laying on the grass.

11 hours ago, canderson said:

Think MDT recorded 1.5”. Not verified.  

This is nuts. 
 

 

from what I saw no way we even got that much lol 

I understand the heavy bands missed me where im at and my dad is. But it was snowing moderate rates for 3-4 hours and the temp got all the way down to 25 in my area. but yet the roads stayed wet side walks and even the grass until the last 2 hours wasnt even laying on any thing but cars. only ended up with half an inch. can some one explain to me with temps in the mid 20s no sun since it was night time the snow couldnt even accumulate on grass or side walks? I have had light snow lay with temps in the mid 30s before this just puzzled me.

2 minutes ago, paweather5 said:

Yeah, I am not that far south from Harrisburg live in Northern York and have a massive inch of snow. Road and sidewalks just wet. A lot of models showed a screw zone and I think we found it. Ohh well onto the next. 

just amazes me 9 times out of 10 the models are right about screwing my area haha. 1 times out of 10 do we bust high o well. Looking at radar back end is all rdy here always ends so much faster. then models show 

cant really sleep roads side walks are just still wet only now started laying on the grass? lol 

lol we got jack shit so far all melting on the ground even tho the temp is 28 now snowing still back back edge on its way 

still nothing laying on the ground just wet im going to bed lol 

some one explain this too me earlier I had rain and snow a bit heavier then light. temp was 38 and dp 22 now I have a heavier band over me temp is 34dp 27 and its dry? nothing is falling. how can I have a bigger gap between temp dp hour or so ago and have precip. but now they are closer together but yet its dry

Nothing burger so far we had sine wet snow rain over an hour ago just had dog outside. Nothing cloudy sky's no  way it's ti dry out temp 34 dp 26

25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Snow reported in Norristown just West of Philly.  Crazy. 

the way the snow sometimes skips over hundreds of miles where its dry then boom a place that has a lower dp gets snow its like huh what. for me it rained with wet snow for about 20 minutes then stopped.