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Everything posted by clskinsfan
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January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
22 years ago today was the surprise snowstorm for DC. Also known as the Carolina Crusher. The storm was supposed to miss SE and ended up being a great storm for just about everyone. By the way. Can someonw recommend a site for historical upper air maps other than this one: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ncepreanal/ http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ncepreanal/data/2000/01/reanal_2000012500.gif -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah. Being further east than me you have a better chance to get some of the coastal in Westminster. If I go to my place in OC and they get 30 I know I am not leaving there for at least a week. I was there for an 18 incher and it was a S show for 4 days. I really wish we could get double digits for everyone in the subforum. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
In a strange twist I dont know if I can chase this thing to OC if they are getting 30 inches. I cant get stuck there for a week. No chase due to too much snow. That is a new one. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Its really not. That is kinda how we do these types of storms. This storm isnt tucking to coast. So we take what we can get. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I guess I need to break our my ruler again. It truly relieves the stress of life. Oh. And its fantastic for measuring snow. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Weenie run for the Cape. Geez. We have a few days to decide if we want to chase it somewhere. I think I am going to go to OC for this one. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
A solid 2-4 or 3-6 throughout the subforum. Not gonna complain about that run. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
It should bring the goods on the front end this run. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Maybe a slightly stronger vort this run? Not a huge difference though. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
So far the front end thing is still looking good like it was at 6Z. I am feeling pretty confident about that part at least. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I have had snowpack here for 20 consecutive days. So I am not going to complain. Of course I would like to freshen it up though. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I am seriously considering going to the beach for this one. But I dont want to do it if its going to be a miserable cold rainer there. Nothing better than standing on the beach with 35 MPH winds and ripping powder. Change that to rain and it is about as miserable as it gets. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
The one thing I am taking away from the morning runs is the front end is more robust for those of us to the NW. I am thinking 2-4 is a realistic possibility with that part. And 2-4 is better than nothing. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
It is going to give us some snow up front if nothing else. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Its a pretty substantial change from 18Z out west. Dammit cant link images from IWM? -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Damn the ICON even whiffs OC. Nuts. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
You are correct that is isnt jumping right over us. The 18Z GFS popped the coastal at the NC/SC border. Which isnt a horrible spot for us if we had some blocking up top. Problem is we dont. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Its not really a discrepancy. The storm doesnt get fired up in time for our area. But that is what Miller B's do here. So you just have to be realistic. And take what you can get up front. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
It is so frustrating looking at the 500 passes on those 18Z runs and not seeing anything out of it. Every single model has a perfect pass for us. And we get scraps. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
They should rename it to Deep Wishcaster. -
Any of that snow making it to the ground up around Hagerstown?\
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January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I want whatever model this guy is using. We all get hammered. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
The Euro was holding energy back as well. Hope its not a trend. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Pretty significant jump west there. Thanks. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
clskinsfan replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Makes sense for up north. I think its pretty clear someone up there is getting smashed.