clskinsfan

Lock the NAM up. If I get 3 I will flip the F out.

Damn ya'll know how to do a dumping up here if that S verifies. Amazing run. Enjoy.

On a purely WTF. That map is amazing though.

I gotta say no one does fails better than our subforum. Some of the funniest crap i have ever seen happens on our board. Love this place.

I have no clue. I just always heard looking at the water vapor loop helps.

You will be fine with a Jeep. They will get coastal highway cleared relatively quickly. My place is on the bay way back from it. And I drive a Charger. So yeah.

Well I went from .6 to 1.6 from 12Z. So I am hugging it.

Pretty much time to abandon the models and start looking at water vapor instead. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=24&dim=1

Mid Atlantic weenies right now: "DT cant even give me 1-3"

If you truly have to leave on Sunday dont do it. I was there for a storm a couple of years ago that was a little over a foot and was stuck there for 4 days. When I finally left the back roads still had not been touched. I was able to leave by driving through tire tracks people with 4x4's had made. So to answer your question. I would not chase on the island itself. But Salisbury might be a good spot. I am going to edit this and add If you can stay for a few days it is worth it. Nothing better than standing on the beach with 35 MPH winds and pounding snow. It is quite a sight to see.

12Z HRRR is a train wreck.

3K not so good. The Nams giveth and the Nams taketh away.

NAM ftw on the front end stuff. Nice little event

This is tasty. Some action in the southern stream as well. Could end up cold and dry. But I will take my chances with this look.

I mean it is absolutely our prime climo for big hits. And the one thing I am liking in the long range is the PV getting displaced over the lakes. Reminds me of 2010 in some ways.

Not changing any of my thoughts. Just going with climo for how these things pan out here. 1-3 for Shenandoah Valley is still my call. Hope you guys to the east get crushed.

I have to post this. It is just too funny. "Between 2 and 20" for NYC.

I am not even going to bother chasing it now. I fell like OC is almost as likely to bust at this point.

A diesel blowing a gasket and then blowing up.

Funny thing is that looks exactly like that long range GFS map I posted a week ago and said I was going to blow a gasket if it was right.

This thread is going to be pretty dead for a while if the GFS is right. Maybe another chance the second week of February?

Looks like the NS part will be a little better this run though.

This is a nice run for you Baltimore folks. You all are still very much in the game for a major event.

Just a measly 39 inches on Long Island. Nam being the Nam.

OC gets 16-20. My friends on 94th street will be locked in for a week.