clskinsfan
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Everything posted by clskinsfan
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Verbatim we get 6 hours of snow, 9 hours of sleet and 3 more hours of snow.
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RGEM is a sleet bomb. Still very possible IMO.
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Loop this one. The back side is pretty sick on the WRF: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrwarw&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2021021700&fh=29&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=
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NAM's are about the only 8 hour event now on the models. Everything else has wrap around snows now.
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ICON is nice. Pummels DC. Has the wrap around snows as well.
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WRF is kind of similar to the NAM with almost all front end quick thump. Is that model based on the NAM at all?
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WRF is pretty cold. Snow down to RIC to start.
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No Swiss cheese here brother. More like Ricotta falling from the sky
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Through 45 with still tons of precip to the west. Dont know if any of it will make to us though.
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3K is a thing of beauty out this way. Seriously thumped.
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Over to sleet here at 42. But Leesburg is hanging on it looks like.
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Man. I dont know what the precip type is at 39 on this crappy map. But the NAM is wet as hell. Holy Winchester crush job at 39 man!
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NAM starts as snow just north of RIC at hour 35ish. 36 Beatdown incoming.
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Yeah. Its a really prolonged event on the HRRR. Definitely sticking to the distinct 2 wave idea. Similar to what the Para was portraying.
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HRRR Precip with first batch of moisture. Second batch is lining me up after 39:
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HRRR is sweet man. DC goes over to sleet after 4 hours of heavy snow. Everyone else north and west of there is still all snow at 37.
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0z HRRR gets snow close to Hagerstown tomorrow evening with the snow finger.
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Was gonna say the same thing. Leaves room for movement either up or down. Where DT fails is he goes all in with big numbers and when that doesnt happen he loses once again. Nice map here though IMO.
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Who said anything about this being a KU event?
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Yeah. I really do feel for you all down in Southern VA. This looks catastrophic for a lot of the area down there.
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Heading out in a few minutes to get my second Covid vaccine shot. Apparently the side effects are worse for the second one. But I cannot wait to have my life back.
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Our really good storms usually trend better as we lead up to them. We havent had that yet this year until now. This one is trending better with just about every model run. Every other storm threat basically collapsed on the models around this timeframe from starting. Just a gut feeling. But I think this one ends up being a really nice event for just about all of us.
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The GFS is almost identical with the cold progression on Friday and through the weekend. Whatever falls is sticking around for a while.
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Straight up weenie run:
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Pretty remarkable agreement on that front running thin band of snow. At this point it targets my area on all of the models. But that could change at any point. I just find it amazing that all of them are picking up that feature.
