Hazey
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Everything posted by Hazey
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The kicking team is about to take the field and punt this week.
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At least it's going the wrong way early. Better than to have it drag out like there's a chance. Maybe after next weekend things will look up.
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I had 33cms(13”) back on January 8th .
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Lots of time left. All be surprised if we don’t see another biggie or two. I actually like this winter. The chances are there, we just are barely missing. Better than last year where every storm went west of us and we had no chance. I’ll roll the dice with this pattern. Meanwhile I’ll put this debacle storm in the rear view mirror. Doubt the models will do this poor on a system again.
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1.5” final. Grass is covered again. YYT getting the goods now but they’ll pay the price later when it milds up and flips to rain. Gander and points west will be the place to be. .
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Hey could be worse. Models had me getting close to a foot or more for almost an entire week lead time only to start folding inside 48hrs. Euro was the last to pack up the tent too. Inside 30hrs. Terrible modeling of this system. I’ll be lucky to score an inch. Onward and upward. .
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Save up and go to St. John's. They got the hot hand this winter
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Inside 36hrs too. Horrendous failure. We'll see how much the models will fail for next weeks weather. I have 0 confidence in any model now.
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Nothing is going to change my luck except maybe #freeleo
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Next week is going to be close. Need that press to be real.
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Not seeing that example for this winter but it is subjective so on paper you are probably correct.
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The whole argument that the pattern is too complex and giving the models trouble is BS imo. What, like there hasn't been a complex or even more complex pattern in the past?. Here's hoping that next winter we can smooth out these whole sale changes, especially inside 84 hrs. We're inside 24hrs now and there is still no consistency. Forecast models have 1"- 12" for my hood...lol
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It’s like the models don’t know which s/w to hang their hat on. Still some changes to be had I think. Hopefully good.
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I’ll hold off writing the obituary on this until tomorrow eve but disappointing run that’s for sure.
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Makes sense. I just naturally assumed it affected both. I must have misread when they trotted it out to the masses. Seems like lead lobe is screwing me and not really helping you. You probably still switch over. Gander in the sweet spot.
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I thought the upgrade had some effect on the skill. Just faster processing of the data? .
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New computers then...lol. Cut my snowfall by half. .
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Wow that was a big correction this close in. Yikes. Poor first showing of the upgrade of the Canadian models. The Reggie went from me flirting with rain to almost a whiff in one run. Perhaps 2.5x needs to be 10x next upgrade. .
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There is always a chance we get Lucy’d. Hope it’s just a blip run but 18z nam and gfs keying on that lead s/w again that drags the whole trough axis south. We’ll see what the Canadian models say shortly. .
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12z Euro was solid. That's all i need to see. Drops 30mb in 24hrs. That should lay down some good snows on the north side of the track. Still a couple of days to fine tune things.
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Between the city and the airport. Did you see the 12z cmc? Actually turns CB over to rain and mixes to hfx. I think if you blend models we will do ok.
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Leo is in a naturally good spot. He gets enhancement off the Northumberland strait from NE winds. 6"+ is good for me especially in this rather unkind winter. Hopefully it doesn't slide more east but could.
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Bare ground with a few snow piles.
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Looks like close to a foot for my area. Super bowl plans may be in jeopardy.
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I hope the euro is not playing games.
