Weather Will

4am

1am

WB 12K NAM 10pm

WB 18Z Control: not staying up late for another inch to track.

WB 18Z EPS

You mean 2-4 feet, correct?

Ground caved faster than I expected. Streets are now covered. Beautiful!

Light snow in Brunswick, lucky if we get a dusting at this rate. Too warm and not heavy enough.

WB 0Z 3K NAM was just ok.

WB 0Z HRRR at 7 am

WB 21Z SREF.....I will take either one.

Fog and drizzle have kept temps down at home. Noticeable change in train ride home from DC as I traveled 50 plus miles NW.

WB 20Z HRRR, solid!

20Z HRRR is a little slower with changeover, noise or trend who knows. 5am compared to last run.

That is still ok. In short term need to see if actual temps are in line with forecasted temps at the surface in line with the snowiest models. Red flag if actual temps are warmer.

High temps are cooler than forecasted. 19Z HRRR has 47-48 degrees at 3pm. Actual 43 in Brunswick.

No....0ne noticed the Winter Storm Watch for west and north? Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Harford- 957 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations around 5 inches are possible. * WHERE...Frederick MD, Carroll, Northern Baltimore and Northwest Harford Counties. * WHEN...From late tonight through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain is expected to change to snow between 5 AM and 7 AM. Snow may be heavy at times, with rates of up to 1 inch per hour through mid morning Tuesday. Visibility may be reduced to less than one half mile at times. The combination of wet snow and gusty winds could lead to downed trees and power lines, resulting in isolated power outages.

No

WB 6Z GFS ticks further south....(comparing to 0Z).

WB 6Z 12K NAM, can it score the coup?????

New Nino, instead of snowing in the south it snows in New England.

WB 18Z GEFS, lows ticked closer to coast....

WB 18Z GFS, congrats New England, epic period for them...

Latest from NWS for the upcoming Pres. weekend, 30% is bullish a week out. Uncertainty lies amongst the models for the upcoming weekend. On Saturday a cold front will sit near the region with an area of low pressure developing along the Gulf/southern U.S. The placement of the front and track of the low has yet to be resolved along with the placement of high pressure over eastern Canada. Temperatures will be cooler as a result with highs in the 30s and 40s. Given model uncertainty in regards to the track and placement of the aforementioned features a wide array of precipitation types are possible. We`ll continue to monitor this system as it evolves in the coming days. Saturday A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

I hope there is something to track by next weekend. One 6 plus inch storm would definitely lighten the mood in here....