Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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Since I am already irritating everyone: I will take the 10-30 % chance depending on where you live for late next week.
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WB 12zEPS....about 11 Members give us snow for late next week. Hug the HECS on 40.....not over yet for late next week.
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WB 12Z EPS....Could someone explain why this mean looks so bad for next Friday? Seems south of the OP.
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Agreed there is no support in 12Z GEFS. Too bad it looks like we punt another week of February.
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Exactly...rather chase a unicorn at under Day 10 then punt the rest of February waiting for a pattern change...the EPS control at OZ got my attention. I know everyone says it is just another ensemble member, but it means the GFS is not completely out to lunch...at least until the 12Z EURO shows it to be partly cloudy and in the 60s late next week.....
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WB 12Z GFS for late next week.....not saying it is correct, but it is something to track under Day 10 that has been pretty consistent with this model. Let's see if we see it on more than the EURO control at 12Z. This will not verify verbatim, but the fact the model keeps trying to develop a storm to our SE needs to be watched.
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OZ EPS Control has a storm on the 21st also to our South.
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12z EPS has about 8 members with snow during the 20-21 period, few flush, few north, few south.
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There are a couple of EPS members that bring a shot of snow over us and even to our south. So maybe something will pop up before the end of the month. Looking casually but not expecting anything at this point.
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WB EPS at the end of run. At least the SE ridge is breaking down. NAO going to neutral perhaps. Not sure about the Pacific but if you loop it to the end signs the AK vortex is weakening. I have not given up on March yet.
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Only bone I have to throw this am is that PNA is moving in the right direction toward the end of the month in 0z EPS ensembles. Looks like we punt the rest of February. Maybe we will start to see improvement in our final few weeks of winter and end with a snow storm. But I would not bet the ranch on it.
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Only One Member brings snow late week.
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No.....no snow this work week looking at 6Z EPS.
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Folks, this winter has proven that if The King is not on board forget about it. Until or if its look improves don’t overthink or get false hopes looking at the Goofus.
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WB 0z EPS a disaster. Nothing different thru the 23rd. The miracle is that It snowed hard for 20 minutes last night so I have snow covering my lawn on my birthday. God loves me and I am at peace with this winter now. Hope everyone gets a snow band before April 1.
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Snow!!!!! More than I have received in forever, Happy Birthday to me!!! Had an early dinner....Temp 36 to 32 on way home and ran into a band of legitimate snow.
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12Z EPS Control likes a storm in 2 weeks so not giving up hope yet. About 6 weeks and counting.
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12Z EPS has only 2/50 Members showing a nice hit for late next week. Until if/when it improves, not even remotely optimistic.
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It is not awful for the NW suburbs. But I would love a shift 50 SE rather than further NW so everyone is in the game.
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WB GEFS thru Day 7. Highest probability I have seen for 3 inches or more in recent memory for NW suburbs. BUT one run, lets see if the probs. hold over the weekend and if EPS gets on board.
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WB 18Z GEFS thru end of run.
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WB 12Z CMS AO Ensemble....Hope this is correct. Game changer.
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WB 12Z EPS.....Late next week and beyond we will hopefully have some tracking to do.
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Agreed...much further South for the Day 7-8 threat
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12Z GEFS thru DAY 8...I found the GFS OP for late next week intriguing...
