Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 12z EPS thru Day 15. No changes. Nada.
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WB 12Z GEFS Mean Next Friday and snow map 28th thru 4th.
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WB 6Z GEFS. Looks like two possible shots. One next weekend, if that trough ends up deeper on the east coast, and then our last shot perhaps after Day 16. Those are the two periods that I am watching with some interest to see if the snow prob maps will respond.
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WB 6Z GFS. Friday is not showing any legs.
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WB 0z...nothing to be excited about yet. I will begin to lose hope by the end of this weekend if there are no upticks in these maps Our little bit of help from EPO and neutral PNA by the end of the week may not be enough with such a hostile AO and NAO.
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One chance is better than 0. We will need some luck without other indices helping. End of February, first few days of March is our chance.
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Saw that. In fairness to him though, has admitted the WB temp forecast for winter was wrong..
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WB 12Z EPS continues to show pattern changes toward end of February/ early March. No strong signals for any snow yet.
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0z EPS continues to show EPO going neutral to negative toward end of month into March . Whether it will have any effect on our snowless winter TBD. No specific threats showing up yet.
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WB EPS 12Z. Looks increasingly likely that we punt the rest of February as expected. Next 10 days or so looks drier overall. I guess the EPO forecast is our hope for the changes up top.
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18Z GEFS 16 Days. Had to post it...this will verify!!!
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12Z EPS.....still holding serve on the EPO going negative toward the end of the month.
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WB 12Z EPS...very quiet through February in the snow maps. Only 2 of 50 Members show anything. Looks like we will be going into the 4th quarter with no time outs left (March.)
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I am saying that I won’t give much credence to what other models are showing until the EURO shows it too.
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Dr. No 12Z says go back to work for late next week.
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WB 12z Canadian...moved North this run also but not enough for DMV yet. But something to track before March is a positive!
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WB 12Z GEFS thru next weekend. Caution....only 20% of Members showing much and not from the same wave but Thursday -Sunday period with some luck could produce.
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0z EPS finally came out on WB. Nothing to report through the end of February....only hope appears to be that the EPO will go neutral to negative by the end of the month to give us a chance in March until Spring arrives. My expectations are low. There are the 10 percent chances here and there before the end of the month but unless I see the probs. going over 50% for a time period under 10 days , no more prob. maps from me. (I hear the alleluia chorus).
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WB 6z GFS. Totally different from OZ two weeks out. Stay tuned...models are all over the place right now in the plus Day 7 range. Keep emotions in check and realize only God knows what late February into mid March will bring.
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WB 12Z EPS ....this picture sums up our winter perfectly.
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Looking at the 12Z guidance, if you want to say there are 4 weeks of winter left, toss next week, and hope a specific threat emerges as we approach the end of the next work week as the pattern under goes some changes. Whether it is too little, too late...EURO still has the coastal for next weekend, albeit off the coast. WB EURO for next Sat :
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WB 6Z Fantasy range GEFS. The dreaded AK vortex starts to lift out after Day 10 or so....
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Let’s see if this look is still there in a week. Fingers crossed.
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6z GFS verbatim is meh first 10 days but appears there is more cold air to work starting later in the period. Hopefully, the 10 plus fantasy range will work out this time. We have about a month left to track. Latest big snow storm that I can remember in my lifetime in mid March is 1993. There have been a few nice snow storms up to mid March so chin up and eyes open folks. Good day.
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WB 0z EPS Day 10...0nly 10-20 percent of Members. It will be interesting to see what 12Z holds but not ready to be suckered in again yet.
