Weather Will

WB 12Z EPS...still about 20-25%.....with 12 nice hits.

I see no change in 12Z GFS thru hour 90.

Agreed. Let's see if this is a trend in the right direction or just a blip. 25% chance on EPS 4-5 days out is good for us this winter, but that does not mean it snows.

6Z EPS. Nice uptick!!!! About 12 solid hits.

GFS/GEFS has perhaps a potentially larger threat Day 10.

WB 6Z GEFS.

I agree with that sentiment. Last 20 minute snow shower I had was February 9. Need some snow to christen my new mulch.

Agreed. But may just be noise. First wave will go too far south and be too warm. Second wave cold enough, but low too far NE. WB 0Z and 6Z.

WB 0Z EPS. Still in the game but with probs not increasing inside of 5 days running out of time. Will need luck that we have not had all winter.

WB 18Z EPS...also some increase.

WB 18z GEFS. Slight increase...probably just noise, but it is too dark for yard work now.

I think we are all looking at the wrong thing. Outside doing yard work.

WB 6Z EPS...

6Z EPS also says what storm? Stays south and east.

WB 6z EURO as far our as it goes.

WB 0Z EPS also had about 5% chance for end of week.

Late week WB 6Z GEFS for late week says 5% chance.

WB 0Z EURO says what storm???

WB 0Z Can and GEFS. Still only very low chance. Will need a lot of luck.

Experts may want to weigh in but looks like another cold rain to me. Only two members show snow. However, EURO/EPS was late to see enough cold air for NC event last week so will keep watching.

18z EPS still says forget late week storm. Back to MD basketball.

I am still hoping for a late week phase. Trying to find a four leaf clover in my grass which is already turning green.

WB 12Z EURO for Friday next week. Surface does not quite get it done....maybe experts could chime in on what they think.

WB 12Z GEFS. Most of this prob. is for the week of March 8 but there is also a weak signal for far NW areas for TH. March 5.

WB 6Z GEFS still showing don’t give up hope during the second week of March. To make myself aa clear as I can there is 0% chances of an event through next Thursday. After that, we have a slight chance for about a week. That is all that I think that is advertised. Luck would help. You have to understand that probability maps are a snapshot. There is no cumulative effect. For example, whether I flip a coin once or a thousand times, there is a 50% of getting heads or tails each time. The difference with the snow probability maps is that every six hours you get a little closer to the target period with updated weather data input. So it will be interesting to see if the probs increase over the next week for the second week of March and whether other models also show it. I would only note that I am not remembering a period recently where GEFS has shown some signals, albeit weak for the same time period two days in a row.