Jump to content

NYCweatherNOW

Members
  • Posts

    1,313
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by NYCweatherNOW

  1. Come on man I’m not that bad am I? I know I give up late but that’s cause I’m a I just have a good feeling this time for the rest of the winter.
  2. January 23rd 2016 euro is exactly what I had in mind. Looks similar to the nam 18z
  3. Does anyone have the ukmet clownmap?
  4. It is not colder bro it’s a warm outlier right now. Euro, icon, nam and ukmet are all colder
  5. Agreed, but hey I’m a cold weenie and I’m taking that run and running with it. Although GFS is going to shut me down now I’m sure let’s see!
  6. It does change to some light rain at the end as the surface warms but still 80% of the storm is frozen can’t deny that!
  7. I said 3-6 area wide is a possibility. Lower end in the city and northern suburbs could get 6 inches. I’m just going with the trend here.
  8. It’s because the primary is coming in weaker, decreasing the warm air invasion.
  9. 3-4 is not out of the question if this thing trends a little colder. It’s very cold and dry before the storm moves in. And the gradient between the dry air and precipitation could halt any warm air advection before we thump 3-4 inches of snow! It’s happened before it could happen again. 3-6 meaning region wide not Central Park!
  10. What are you talking about! It’s for sure colder.
  11. I’m going to go on a limb here and say we’re going to start getting a lot of snow soon. Yo me this is the type of pattern that’s just cold enough but not too cold to suppress our storms. That’s just my gut to be honest... but cmc and gfs both have the storm for next week and it’s not cutting or out to sea. It’s kinda shredded but it does eventually redevelop off the coast of Cape Hatteras. Let’s see what the euro says for next weeks storm, Saturday's event looks like a minimal snow event changing to rain on all models now!
  12. The models don’t really account for the evaporative cooling since it will be very dry when the snow comes in, and than once the heavier batch comes in we should cool down some more from dynamic cooling. Half of the precipitation here falls as snow in my opinion. Trenton and south is snow sleet mix turning into rain. 2-4 is a good bet for the city proper
  13. I live in armonk but I work in the city, but my parents live in the Bronx. It’s complicated. I think still this is 2-4 in the city
  14. I don’t think we only get a dusting here only. This is a 2-4 inch snow to rain event in my opinion. No model has a dusting only
  15. I would give it until February 10th to sort of give up on winter. It’s still early
  16. I’ve been saying this is a 2-4 inches followed by rain. I don’t like the setup. I do like the cold for a quick snow event followed by rain unless the precip gets shredded. If it comes in like a wall we’ll get a decent thump
  17. Let’s be honest weather isn’t exact science and models are usually wrong. Past 2-3 days I don’t believe it
  18. This is a 2-4 inches of snow in my opinion. It’s a good thump followed by rain! You know models always underestimate dynamic and evaporative cooling that’s a fact. So whatever the models show the rain snow line, take it down another 20 miles at least south.
×
×
  • Create New...