jaydreb

18z RGEM actually gets precip pretty far north.  Flurry watch in DC. 

Just now, Interstate said:

Model wise... I should have been more specific.

Euro pretty much nailed this thing.  GFS wasn’t bad either but had a few off runs here or there.  CMC and FV3 were the last to catch on.  

GFS doesn’t budge.  Not even a tick north.  We had a good 30 mins enjoying the NAM extrapolation and JMA though.  

If anything, confluence pressing down even more at 54 hours on 18z GFS.  

The low is a bit further north at 60 and 66 though.  

12z EPS cuts back even further for DC.  Went from 1/2 inch of snow at 0z to pityflakes at 12z.  

Actually a decent tick north on 12z euro.  Richmond at least gets into decent stuff (1-3).  

1 minute ago, Snowchaser said:

hows the euro looking guys?

No major changes through 78. 

Only good news is that we are within the FV3’s lunch break at 96 hours.  

CMC takes away DCA’s flurries.  

Not sure why I’m still following this but slight tick North on 12z GFS.  

4 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

Where exactly was the snow cutoff from the euro op?  Everyone just fled after seeing it...

Richmond barely in the .1” QPF.  Scraps to the north up to EZF. 

Longtime lurker, new poster.  Just saying hello and thanks to all the knowledgeable posters.  I’ve learned a lot from this forum.  

First post (wish it could be more positive):

12z EPS mean snowfall for DCA is 3”.