jaydreb

GFS suppressing everything.

Don’t worry, the next wave is a cutter.

Looks like the low is forced just under us on this run.

Slightly less ridging on 18z than 12z brings the precip south. Still not cold enough to make a difference.

1. Does the model show snow? If yes, go to 2. If no, go to 3. 2. Is the model the Euro? If yes, go to 4. If no, go to 5. 3. It’s right. 4. Is the model supported by 90% of ensembles and at least 2 other major models? If yes, go to 6. If no, go to 7. 5. It’s wrong. 6. Is the model within 48 hours of the event? If yes, go to 8. If no, go to 9. 7. It’s wrong. 8. It’s wrong. 9. It’s wrong.

So in other words just a normal day in the mid-Atlantic forum?

Pretty obvious fumble. I would have liked to hear their explanation of why it wasn’t.

I think these numbers are going to stand. Very unlikely we get any further measurable snow this season.

Thanks so much for writing this up!

Lol. .1” twice - unreal. At least we got that beat.

Lol, if that NAO was any more positive it would look like a black hole on the map.

Thanks Psu. Is there a region of the country for which our “crap” pattern (i.e. the one we are facing) is actually a dream pattern? Are there weenies out there in another forum cheering for a +EPO, +NAO, -PNA pattern?

In January 1996 I was 20 years old and and home from college for winter break at my house in Central NJ (Monmouth County). The Blizzard of 1996 was the most snow I have ever seen from a single storm. We got about 30" from that storm. I moved to the DC area the next year. The most snow I received from a single storm since I've been in this area was in 2016 when I got about 26". The most snow I ever had on the ground at one time, however, was after the 2/10/10 storm. We had gotten about 24" from the 2/6 storm and then another 12" on 2/10 (along with wind and blowing snow). I voted for '96 simply because it was the most snow I had ever seen from a single storm. If the February 2010 storms were combined into a single entry I would have voted for that.