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jaydreb

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Everything posted by jaydreb

  1. GFS is the “fail” and still shows 3-6” across the area?
  2. Looks like slightly better cad signature as compared to 6z?
  3. After what happened with the Thursday storm, this better not be the time that the Euro caves to the GFS.
  4. Wow, Euro worth waiting up for tonight. Wish this was 48 hours away instead of 160.
  5. What does this mean? Does this mean that above the line is snow?
  6. How much of this winter has just been bad luck though? DC was super close to a good event in December and then another one this Thursday. A few very minor adjustments and we’re talking about nearing climo by the end of January.
  7. Are there still spots in this forum that haven’t seen a verified winter storm warning since 2016?
  8. Yep. While everyone celebrates first flakes, there’s always that post “Don’t look at the __z NAM if you like snow” which spells the end of the fun.
  9. Can we burn this thread at least and start a new one for the future tracking?
  10. How is this the first time I’m learning this? Wow.
  11. The GFS gives us snow in 6-7 days from a low running into Indiana. I’m sure that will work out.
  12. Thanks. Sounds like guidance as a whole has been good but the GEFS/GFS appears to be terrible. I guess we kinda knew that.
  13. We’ll always have Friday night’s GFS.
  14. So I’m starting to agree with that poster who always pops in to say the models suck. If an ensemble suite can show that much certainty within 5 days and be wrong then what’s the point of having it at all?
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