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jaydreb

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Everything posted by jaydreb

  1. jaydreb
    Someone needs to make a fail video montage at the end of the winter with all the great digital snow runs within 72 hours set to music.
  2. jaydreb
    “Memories...like the corners of my mind. Misty watercolor memories, of the way we were.”
  3. jaydreb
    Welp, it was fun while it lasted.
  4. jaydreb
    33/14
  5. jaydreb
    Yeah, my post about the Para was kind of tongue in cheek. Most guidance does seem to be focusing in on 2-4/3-6 type deal for DC area, plus sleet and ice.
  6. jaydreb
    Sorry, I edited it so snowhole after I saw that the precip was actually fairly decent. Looks like a combination of precip and temp differences.
  7. jaydreb
    It’s weird. The GFS-Para jacks the DC metro area. The Euro has the same area as a snowhole.
  8. jaydreb
    Glad we have consensus like 24 hours away.
  9. jaydreb
    Do you use Kuchera or 10:1 for these? This might be a tough storm to assess because of all the sleet built into the snow totals.
  10. jaydreb
    Verbatim I would take the 3.5”, but it seems like the on the ground truth is always half of what the clownmaps show.
  11. jaydreb
    I’m a fan of those guys but I will be shocked if that forecast verifies for DCA.
  12. jaydreb
    Pretty ugly snow wise for the cities. Great if you like accumulating sleet though.
  13. jaydreb
    I must be reading it wrong because on WB it looks like maybe an hour of snow followed by all sleet.
  14. jaydreb
    It looks good, but isn’t the concern for the cities that temps are too warm at other levels besides 850?
  15. jaydreb
    Was it before or after the Euro started running?
  16. jaydreb
    About 11z in DC with the light stuff. Better stuff around 14z. Subtract an hour or two for areas out west.
  17. jaydreb
    Yep. This was within 72 hours of the last Weds/Thurs event.
  18. jaydreb
    So what is this?
  19. jaydreb
    Because the atmosphere will do whatever it takes to avoid giving certain areas snow? If the 850s are good, then surface will be bad. If the surface is good, then 850s will be bad. If 850s and surface are both good, then there will be a “warm nose” at 950 (or 750). Sorry for the non-scientific answer but I am a bit jaded this morning.
  20. jaydreb
    What’s the difference between a Trace and a Coating? Asking for a friend.
  21. jaydreb
    Remember this one?
  22. jaydreb
    Snowing in N. Arlington.
  23. jaydreb
    Nice. I’ll take that verbatim and won’t even care about Wave 2.
  24. jaydreb
    Is that snow for DC or the mix crap that the NAM put out?
  25. jaydreb
    See my post though. Euro and GFS have totally different precip jackpots. Almost 1” QPF difference in some spots.
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