LeesburgWx
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Everything posted by LeesburgWx
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Full on donut
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That’s a tough solution there. The goal posts have pretty much been set from just north of Tampa to Sarasota it appears as of now.
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Starting to look much better on IR now
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Wow, this is something. This area has been mostly spared for decades which I am sure has aided in the massive growth of development.
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So we hit 180mph officially this evening. Let's say it peaked at at 185-190 before recon got in there. Let's then say Milton drops to like 165 mph during the ERC and then goes at another run over the Loop Current tomorrow and hits say 185mph. The surge already created that is being carried with it now and then combined with another peak run tomorrow (while much closer to Florida at that point), we are likely to see some exceptional surge numbers somewhere along the Florida coast upon landfall.
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wow, sub 900mb is just so rare. Only 5 ever to do it in the Atlantic right?
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Where is recon currently?
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Not trying to hype here - this has the *potential* to change Tampa Bay. The population, development, vulnerability, and already hard impacted state from Helene makes this such a bad situation. We are talking a mega strong Category 5 hurricane's surge being potentially shoved into the Bay. Even if it weakens to a Category 3 at landfall, the surge will be unreal.
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Yeah, we are going sub 900mb. This is a run for the money over the next few hours
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I am in awe of what we are witnessing right now. This may be the storm that changes Tampa Bay. Up to 15 foot storm surge being forecasted now. Wow
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Just stunning. I am just amazed this is moving west to east vs our typical east to west movement. The norms are being thrown out the window so often now, it seems.
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Hurricane Milton has definitely started more ENE now
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This could very well now be a Cat 3 landfall with cat 5 storm surge. And it's moving east to west... Wow - Speechless.
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And it's not just the landfall location, but the NE heading to that landfall. The worst possible outcome
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Location aside, how often do we see a straight up west to east moving Category 5 hurricane?
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First morning visible is out
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For the northern Yucatan coast, this is such a rare occurrence for intensity and direction. The new NHC track has the core scraping the coastline. Wow
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Wow, he is taking off now - Looking great and stacked on stacked
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If Milton hits Cat 4+, the damage will already be done in regard to surge, even with any weakening upon landfall. This needs to be the primary focal point for public messaging.
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But it goes down to 901 before that
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He is starting to get the "look"
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12z GFS is north of Tampa and a brutal track for storm surge
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It's already at 991mb and this is showing 48 hours out...
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I would assume that most people are just finding out that there is even a storm to look at. By tomorrow night, I suspect many more will begin go take notice.
