LeesburgWx

Intense AF. Love write ups like this

Dumping snow here. Official coating on everything. Old snow is freshened up!

Snowing in Ashburn

Time to chase wind

12z NAM is better for us in NOVA. I can't help but laugh at this forecast: Today Scattered snow showers, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Tonight Scattered snow showers, mainly before 8pm. Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 11. Wind chill values as low as -3. Blustery, with a light and variable wind becoming northwest 19 to 24 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 17. Wind chill values as low as -11. Windy, with a northwest wind 29 to 32 mph, with gusts as high as 60 mph. Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 9. Wind chill values as low as -8. Blustery, with a northwest wind 17 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 22. Northwest wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 11.

If you are looking for a case study in mean, median, mode… head over to the long range thread

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 219 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016>018-504-VAZ053-054-501-505-506-526-527-061530- /O.CON.KLWX.HW.W.0001.260207T0900Z-260208T0000Z/ /O.CON.KLWX.CW.Y.0011.260207T0900Z-260208T1500Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 219 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold wind chills as low as 13 below expected. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central and southern Maryland, and northern Virginia. * WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 4 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday. For the Cold Weather Advisory, from 4 AM Saturday to 10 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. The cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind chills will remain at or below zero during the day on Saturday due to windy conditions and cold temperatures. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive. Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Keep pets indoors as much as possible. Make sure outdoor animals have a warm, dry shelter, food, and unfrozen water. && $$

My God, we need a blizzard stat. This is worse than cliff diving

Unpleasant, you say? This is what we live for

We doing the GFS blizzard vs Euro dud thing again? Do we ever learn?

We suck. Edit: I’m chasing wind and more flurries for Friday/Saturday now.

All these posts and I thought we were lock for an inch of snow. And all I see are posts talking about the sun exploding and roasting our ice pack

Only 300 hours away

I’m seeing some puddles in the streets today. Is winter over?

But then we lose our CAD

Sold. Screw the NAM. Until it shows snow

Honestly, I trust the NAM at 84 hours more than the GFS at 60 hours now

We went from blizzard to sleetfest to blizzard to nada to 1-2" and are so Back

NGL, 1-2" would be legit and it would feel like 8-10" when on top of our glacier

We back?

Except this weekend’s storm

It’s getting brutal in here

It’s nice to have something new to track after these past few days. Make this missed storm a little easier to forget about.

Heh, what a forecast for the Outer Banks. That's nuts

And to think we were so close to being back in this until the FOLKS heard around the world was rescinded shortly after