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RockerfellerSnow

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Everything posted by RockerfellerSnow

  1. You’ve been wrong, I’m betting that a thundersnow could hit the Times Square area! If I lose I don’t post for 2 months this time. If you want to make the high stakes... I think I’ll even bet that we get another one in a week or so. Similar maybe more snow but no rain this time. Heck this storm is colder than modeled for sure so therefore I would like to conclude that models are good but crappy at the same time. You have to solve the problem that the season makes sense.
  2. Nicest storm I’ve seen in a while and probably ever in November. But the question is still will New York City get thundersnow tomorrow morning with the ccb?
  3. Heavy snow until7pmfor Central Park definitely 3-4 inch possibility here
  4. I’m going to say 4 inches for Central Park now. Raised the stakes
  5. It changed to a mixture of rain and snow but still over performed there
  6. Looks like an over performer in the south let’s see what happens here the next 6-8 hrs
  7. I still think Central Park will record at least 2... where he is probably closer to 3
  8. Dude we’re colder and more north this isn’t a coating for Central Park mark my words. I’m in Central Park today and I will personally go and measure and show you guys
  9. Models usually underperform with dynamic cooling and evaporative cooling. Hopefully it doesn’t warm up too much today especially the fact that we got low clouds already. I’ll be back in 4-5 hours
  10. Hrrr is the best model att Hrrr has 6 hours of heavy wet snow for the city and 2 hours of frozen mix and than dry slot
  11. 0 for the city? That’s not right we’ll get an inch for sure! Did u see the latest hrrr
  12. Hrrr is very snowy for the city and in fact it’s snowy for everybody .
  13. Billy’ is in ulster thats even a better spot what you think? just hit 32 here new Rochelle for the first time this year. And of course we get our first freeze and first snow the same day.
  14. Gfs always does this. It’s great with track and time but a lot of times it doesn’t record the dynamics of the system and it essentially fails in the precipitation types in winter months.
  15. Thunder snow? i think we wetbulb wet bulb is when the precipitation hits the ground as a result of drying out atmosphere. It could turn a normally warmer airmass cool down abruptly. Another thing is we’re going to heavy straight heavy snow for 6 hours it looks like. And once we hit night the models may get iffy on seeing the cold air from nightfall. No sun definitely helps put it that way. Regardless I think we get a good thump of at least 2 but could go as high as 5-6 inches if things go best where most of the heavy precipitation falls as snow and we get a few light showers of either sleet or freezing drizzle. It could turn obviously into rain too but notice when nighttime hits on models we get a flash of chilled air, and as the low is intensifying resulting thunder snow!?
  16. I disagree this has a chance of never changing to rain. Sleet and freezing rain or drizzle while we dry slot than we get a second round with the ccb
  17. How was the euro 18z for Central Park sorry to bother u guys
  18. That’s not how it’s measured. They measure several times before the storm finishes. I’m calling for 2 inches for Central Park. Heavy wet snow on a cold ground for 3 hours is at least 2 inches
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