Jump to content

Sundog

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    11,616

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Sundog

  1. Sundog
    Two, 1972-1973 and 1988-1989.
  2. Sundog
    The snow season was also longer, the first few decades of snow records from NYC show about half of Novembers having accumulating snowfall, some of them with major numbers. To be fair though we were on the tail end of ther Little Ice Age and so the background state was just overall naturally cooler even without global warming.
  3. Sundog
    Fun/miserable fact: NYC had 6 <10 inch winters between 1869 and 1997. NYC had 6 <10 inch winters between 1998 and 2024.
  4. Sundog
    Despite the very snowy period we also had a highly abnormal amount of under 10 inch winters embedded within the last 30 years as well. Those duds have been much more likely to occur since the Super El Nino compared to the 100+ years of snow records before. So while we averaged higher overall, the annual snowfall has been much more volatile in general, going from feast to famine.
  5. Sundog
    I don't see that in the record
  6. Sundog
    The stuff currently south of Long Island is better lined up for NYC if it can make it there.
  7. Sundog
    NYC is currently shafted
  8. Sundog
    The difference is the crysophere can still be in place in large swaths of Canada in April whereas it's nowhere to be found in mid September unless you're on the Arctic Ocean.
  9. Sundog
    No chance. Though I would love nothing more to be true
  10. Sundog
    Models are wishy washy with how much rain falls up here They mostly all bring the low up here to affect us, they just differ in how much rain actually falls once it's here.
  11. Sundog
    The Euro AI has been the only model that was showing for many days that the rain would reach our coast. I don't know what the final outcome will be with this but all the models came around to it. Amazing job with the AI Euro sniffing this out days in advance of other models.
  12. Sundog
    Clouds are one of the tricky variables that climate models haven't really nailed down yet. They can have cooling and warming effects.
  13. Sundog
    Even if that's true (I have no idea) I think it's low clouds that do the best job at cooling the surface. So if we are losing low clouds that's bad if you want to keep the Earth's temp from rising further.
  14. Sundog
    This is the wettest Euro run yet for the coastal low. This is 6z:
  15. Sundog
    The potential is there for more intense systems. Theres a straightforward relationship between energy and intensity. That doesn't mean that intensity will be realized or there won't be other factors that hamper the realization of that intensity.
  16. Sundog
    It's not out of the ordinary.
  17. Sundog
    Excellent post Don. I've been saying for years that a model's usefulness goes far behind it's 500mb hemispheric score.
  18. Sundog
    I read a study not too long ago that showed low clouds (I think it was low) were becoming less numerous because of warming. The warmer air/sea surface temps disrupt low cloud formation, leading to even more warming, leading to even more disruption, etc.
  19. Sundog
    The oceans will continue to absorb C02, just because they got a little warmer doesn't mean they have reached the degassing point. They just won't absorb CO2 (or any gas) as well as they did when they were colder. That creates a positive feedback loop for global warming unfortunately. But they will continue to absorb gases, just not at the same rate.
  20. Sundog
    The EURO AI has been bringing rain from the coastal low for many runs now and now the GFS brings some rain up here this way as well. But the regular Euro refuses to budge and is basically dry.
  21. Sundog
    Sunday looks a bit tricky, Euro is the warmest while other models have mnore onshore flow like buewave said might happen.
  22. Sundog
    For yesterday the EPS run from your posted map had the coastal lingering, that's why temps were probably too low.
  23. Sundog
    Are the overall anomalies being affected by higher low temps? I don't see any temps higher than upper 70s on the EPS.
  24. Sundog
    "Warmest winter on record" really looked like it was going to happen until that record PNA ridge unleashed the Arctic.
  25. Sundog
    Crazy, I got to 54 degrees in Queens, only 3 degrees warmer than you
×
×
  • Create New...