JakkelWx

I predict that the panic room thread is gonna be created on Labor Day and the reapin' list is gonna be full not 5 minutes later.

ANOTHER AOI and it's only May 28th. Third one. 30/30. Chances are pretty low for development, and if development occurs, it will likely be subtropical in nature. Can you imagine if Cristobal formed right before June 1st, making it the third named pre-season storm? Either way, possibly a grim sign of what's to come during peak hurricane season. Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 725 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the area of low pressure over the central Atlantic. 1. A surface trough and associated upper-level disturbance are producing disorganized shower activity and gusty winds over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Gradual development of this system is possible, and it could acquire some subtropical characteristics on Friday and Saturday as it moves generally northward. Development is not expected after that time due to unfavorable environmental conditions. For additional information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 AM EDT Friday, or earlier if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 AM EDT Tue May 12 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the Bahamas. 1. 1. An area of low pressure is expected to develop this weekend a couple hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas. Environmental conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire some subtropical characteristics as it moves northeastward through Sunday. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 PM EDT Tuesday, or earlier, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Forecaster Latto

What's your prediction for the coming summer? I predict that a cloud is gonna form somewhere in the U.S.

Welcome to Mid-Atlantic winter climo.

I won't mind a changeover as long as I get some good snow TV with at least some accumulation before then

One thing is for sure: The pattern will change sometime this week, and it will possibly get quite cold along with many snow chances. This looks like a 3-4 week deal and done.

ECMWF Monthlies are brutally cold for February. Dunno if already posted somewhere back as it initialized on the 5th.

18z gfs is on crack

Almost all AO members are positive heading into Jan per latest indices.

Just saw on another thread that weather.us has a reanalysis for past storms. Now I can go see what the radar looked like on February 5, 2010!

Not sure I like the latest MJO ECMWF forecast. It stays in the COD but moves towards the unfavorable phases. Hopefully just a blip

CFS is extremely cold from halfway through the run to the end of the run. Never seen it so cold on that model for so long. Also...

Hmm I don't really know but when it suddenly flips to a good pattern in 24 hours that's a red flag to me. Can someone reassure me that everything's alright?

Sorry to post in this subforum, but talk about the march 2001 storm caught my attention and I just couldn't resist posting in here. You have mentioned the storm that must not be named. TWC forecasted 1-2 feet for my area when I was 9 years old. Don't really remember too well but I think we ended up having school. I was pretty upset then...

5th grade. 2001. I remember that day as a normal day in class talking about the hurricane (Erin I think?) as I was a huge weather nerd. Suddenly the teachers announced the news that planes hijacked by terrorists have been crashed into both world trade centers. Honestly thought we were entering a war during that period. We had to leave schools early due to safety concerns and being near Washington D.C, as the elementary school I went to was only about 20-30 miles from there. #NeverForget

Damn. Ninja'd again before I was gonna post Josh's latest tweet:

Yeah, cat 1 with sustained gusts of over 185 mph. Devastating to say the least.

Sorry my question was meant to be sarcastic. Apologies.

Also, how does a mod get hired on the forums? I'm looking to become one.

what is going on in this thread

Almost 14 hours straight of tracking dorian now. Safe to say I've beat my personal record of about 11 hours or so tracking Irene moving up the coast after I graduated high school.

Is it still wobbling WSW?

Honestly I've been staring at the satellite and models ya know for hours on end without budging since yesterday morning. It's like a NHC shift but at home and i'm not even qualified lol. But I could qualify since I'm good at sitting at the edge of my bed tracking hurricanes for so long.