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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. warmup has been well modeled and the snowpack was built on dusters naso surprising to see it get nuked so fast, imo the real bummer is the good pattern ending with a whimper instead of a bang
  2. 12z guidance going the wrong direction for most with these
  3. next couple trending the wrong way for chicagoland and appearing p locked in
  4. mostly bare grass here at the office near o'hare am snow squalls more of the cold rain variety so far need the late week events to reverse trends asap otherwise looks like white xmas chances are p low imo
  5. we're due for our annual mid winter severe event
  6. p rough look gonna end up a seriously two-faced month
  7. Melt was p aggressive and Xmas thaw looks locked and loaded. January will be rocking
  8. EPS jumped north/wetter too, suspect jackpot will be to my southwest but like the look of the baroclinic zone and am hedging stronger.
  9. going with a bullish 3" on the thursday night duster
  10. if we're lucky we squeeze a DAB+ out of the morning squalls
  11. melting p good here, wonder what will be left of the pack by tomorrow morning
  12. mixed bag with 12z guidance on the potential saturday event, icon and ggem p hot, gfs more of sliding duster
  13. wouldn't be surprised to see 20:1+ in any good fgen banding with the saturday event
  14. Yeah euro continues to have more exciting solutions to this piece, gem not awful, gfs a suppressed slider Per EPS it's still looking like the pattern becomes more hostile mid to late month, so this is our moment to stack a good December number
  15. it's got that suppression stink, hopefully the snowier solutions gain favor here over the next couple days most guidance gets p fugly in a week or so, so our window may be closing for a bit
  16. yeah doing a rainer in this string of nw flow dusters is a drag
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