lordsnot

Lived on Long Island in 94, we were encased in a thick layer of ice for weeks. Went a long time without reaching 32.

It was free. and over 8 hours ago. I said this morning, I was off by one minute. My point is, normally with a snowstorm on the way he tweets frequently. He (and Mike Masco) have been silent all day.

Meanwhile Joe Cioffi is sticking to his 6-8" forecast for NYC Metro. Back in the day, growing up on LI, Joe Cioffi on NEWS12 LI was prolly the most accurate forecaster in NY...nowadays: not so much.

Not saying DT ever "woofed" for this one, but going from a 5-8" plowable snowstorm to a 2-4" minor storm in less than 10 hours is a cancel in my book.

Oddly, John Marshall's final call is 4-7" for NYC Metro, down from 6-9" from his previous forecast, but higher than anyone else at this point. Steve D, Adam T and Mike Masco are MIA since this morning.

If this is the end game, the twitter fight yesterday between Steve DiMartino and Adam Tocksin was all for naught as the latest forecast aligns with SDs thinking all week until he flipped yesterday.

The LAST CALL map only features some minor changes from the previous forecast map. I have replaced the 5 to 8 inch snow band with the 4-6 inch snow band and I have shifted it to the South because most of the data on this Saturday morning and midday shows has trended this way. There is a clear shift southward of the 1 inch in snowline in West Virginia , central Pennsylvania , and eastern New York State. In addition. the high-resolution short-range models have shifted the heaviest snow band to the south of the big cities of I-95. This results in an increase in the snow amounts in the Northern Neck, southern Maryland. and across the central Delmarva into southern New Jersey. The forecast uncertainty is the Richmond Metro area but the latest and final model runs of the 18z NAM have shown an increase of up to 3.5 inches of snow in the Richmond Metro area. The last two previous 3KM NAM model runs actually showed all rain and no snow of any kind in the Richmond Metro area. From what I can see the best snows will be in a range from Roanoke to Lynchburg Charlottesville up into Fredericksburg Tappahannock Lake Anna then into the southern Maryland counties of st. Mary's and Calvert, and into the far Southern New Jersey and far Southeastern Massachusetts. Temperatures will be cold enough in Southwest Virginia as well as the central Virginia and Piedmont regions to support moderate to heavy snowfall early Sunday morning. Also be advised that there is a potential for significant ice storm in much of central and western Virginia , much of Maryland, into Southeast Pennsylvania, and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia on Thursday February 11th. More on this later

So DT just cancelled the storm for NY Metro in his final call, just 2-3 inches.

That is model vomit and rarely if ever comes to fruition. I can only think of one, during the winter of 1996 maybe when it just kept snowing and snowing and snowing.