Shocker0

30 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Tornado warning north of me near Sunbright. 

I graduated school there and went to Church in Mill Creek. Crazy. Rare tornado at the foot of mountains. It's headed Johns way, hopefully it lifts.

On 1/27/2024 at 11:15 PM, dwagner88 said:

MRX messed up their event report for this. Officially KCHA got 1.7". MRX's report states that this is the most January snowfall for KCHA since 1996. They seem to have forgotten about the January 2011 snowstorm that brought nearly 8" to KCHA overnight. 1.7" being the largest event in 28 years is really sad. Even for here.

Did Chattanooga not end up with any snow in the February 12, 2014 system? I know areas just north of there got like 8"

Based on this they got a lot in that storm

On 1/11/2024 at 4:44 PM, John1122 said:

I've still got several papers from 1996! The "missing" and under reported snowfall amounts from that storm are legendary. To me, it ranks alongside the Blizzard of 1993 for local impacts. It was much worse than the blizzard on a state wide scale because it was a major winter storm for everyone. The Blizzard of '93 really cut off to a normal event beyond about Cookeville. 

 

That report is waaaaaaaay off here. The 911 director at that time who submitted those reports to papers, quite literally didn't understand how to measure things. The same person reported that 10 inches fell during the Blizzard of 1993. Snowfall totals here were 16-18 inches. 16-20+ in Anderson and Union. 

Here is a screenshot from the 1996 snow taken from one of my girlfriends home movies. This is in Oakdale, TN (Morgan County).

Looks super deep to me. I should have a higher res version tomorrow as this was a quick screengrab while converting it to digital format.

We do seem to have bottomed out at -6 here and have had a slow warmup overnight. It's currently up to 0 now

32 minutes ago, John1122 said:

That's impressive! You may land around -10 or -15. I'm down to -1. 

Our low is showing 0, while places to our east are showing that they should be a little colder than us tonight, so I figure they expect it to stabilize or gradually get warmer. It is now -4, so seems to have tapered off and may not drop much more through the night. 

Last night we got down to -2 and the forecast was around 5 I believe.

Our high was 10 today but it currently says -4. Doesn't sound like it could be right but it has been steadily dropping since 4pm. I can't see us getting much lower than this here in Crossville though with the warmer air filtering in early tomorrow. The hot water in my bathroom is frozen currently so hopefully that will unthaw without busting.

EDIT: Right after I posted, it went to -5 :O

14 here and has been snowing pretty hard for the last two hours or so! Blowing around a lot

Crossville a bit ago. Still raining and below freezing

We got up to 34 earlier in Crossville, but now it's 30 and freezing rain. It's slick already on top of the snow.

light sleet in Crossville in town about 45 minutes ago. Nothing now.

1 hour ago, ShawnEastTN said:

Should add I've made it to 25 and overcast conditions are either moving in or developing. Can't tell for sure, but it seems like it developed overhead rather than moved in from the west. Anyone on the plateau have overcast skies or sunshine?

It's been very cloudy here ever since I posted the 33 degree temp.

This is looking west

1 hour ago, ShawnEastTN said:

Yeah I believe the higher elevation actually works a bit in favor of warmer in this scenario at least initially. Lower points will trap shallow cold easier. Though with snowpack think everyone with it, will likely get the freezing rain in general.
 

I know in 2015 we had a massive ice storm here in Crossville while Knoxville and most places off the Plateau got snow. Just a past example. It was about 1.5 inches of ice here with no power for over a week, while other places got a foot of snow if I remember correctly.

It also occurred right after a frigid week of snow and below 0 temps.

We've warmed up really quick in Crossville! Already 33 degrees.

The highest I've got to is 19 (currently) and it was -8 this morning. We were supposed to be around 26 I believe.

Our high today was 13 and we are currently at -3

2 minutes ago, John1122 said:

It's mostly going to be a slow and steady event tonight. I think I saw MRX or OHX mention 1/4th inch per hour rates overnight in one of their discos. Still, if we get 1/4th to 1/2 inch per hour for the next 8 hours, that adds up to several inches. 

As noted, tomorrow we get some gulf connection and rates go up. 

Should it be snowing on the western Plateau all day tomorrow? WBIRs future radar showed it looking like it cleared out here at like 11am and then remained over Knoxville the rest of the day/evening

We have an inch on the car tops so far. It's taking a minute to cover the grass fully though.

Our snow here NW of Crossville feels wetter than I expected actually. Down to 22 though

23 degrees now. We had very little virga surprisingly.

Flurries NW of Crossville

Just now, jaxjagman said:

Believe that is more the first wave isnt it?

It goes out to 54 hours. It shows a lot of QPF in ETN but maybe mixing problems.

2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Crossville…




.

27 here 10 miles NW of town

The "Rufus" model moves the heaviest snow well up into Kentucky  at least Kuchera ratios.

3 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Completely agree but I do believe it’s very reasonable for anyone north of 40 in the valley to push 8”. I’m in a location where I get 6-8” from the NAM and 8+ from all the other mods. I might end up in a good location.


.

That is very possible but also based on the latest runs it looks like his 1-3" line and 2-4" should also be in the 3-6+ at the very least. But maybe he will be correct

2 minutes ago, John1122 said:

I'm at 14 inches on the 3k at hour 32 with snow still flying.

Same amount where I live. Bet that'd push us to around -10 the next morning if that ever verified