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purduewx80

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Everything posted by purduewx80

  1. purduewx80
    Airport totals as of 00Z: EWR - 1.8" LGA - 1.9" JFK - 1.6"
  2. purduewx80
    Mixed precip and/or sleet is steadily moving our way. Some dynamic cooling may offset this at times, as is the case near the PA/NJ border now.
  3. purduewx80
    curious to see how we do this evening. should be pretty close to the rain/heavy snow line for a bit.
  4. purduewx80
    not quite but closing in on it. huge flakes again now.
  5. purduewx80
    yeah this held together nicely. snow growth was good for about 30 minutes, but it's back to small flakes now in BK.
  6. purduewx80
    The increase in winds associated with this frontogenetic band are interesting. EWR began gusting just as it arrived. Radar velocities indicate winds will die down again as the more intense snow ends. KEWR 181723Z 23016G22KT 2SM -SN BKN027 BKN042 OVC060 M02/M12 A3042 RMK AO2 SNB22 P0000 T10221122
  7. purduewx80
    You're far enough north to see mostly snow before the dry slot moves in. Should do well up there.
  8. purduewx80
    Walt's post above addresses this. Parts of the 5 boroughs may see some mixing prior to going back to mdt/hvy snow, but I think this (mix/rain) is most likely in SI, BK, southern Queens/LI due to the rapidly increasing LLJ off the relatively milder ocean. For now most of the soundings support this scenario.
  9. purduewx80
    Agreed - I like the ~6-8PM window for potential +SN in northern Queens/LI, Manhattan, CT and points north.
  10. purduewx80
    The models unanimously weaken that fronto forcing between 700-500mb where the DGZ is, so if this is correct, +SN may not make it into the area this afternoon.
  11. purduewx80
    That dry air goes all the way up past 700mb.
  12. purduewx80
    Got in on the 00Z ob.
  13. purduewx80
  14. purduewx80
  15. purduewx80
    Same. Low-level flow ended up more southwesterly vs southerly, and our cold high that moved offshore had plenty of dry air feeding out of it. Lack of precip, farther W/NW low/front and sun = deeper mixing. EWR has gusts to 40MPH now.
  16. purduewx80
    KNYC up to 65 at 11. Already 2F over the previous record.
  17. purduewx80
    The 12Z Sunday ISP sounding indicates weak CAPE and an 80KT LLJ! The surface inversion obviously won't let that all mix down, but it certainly could get interesting if any convective elements survive. Its PWAT forecast would also set a January record at OKX.
  18. purduewx80
  19. purduewx80
    yeah, quite a thick layer of clouds is probably the culprit.
  20. purduewx80
    The 12Z ECWMF is increasing the odds for record warmth this weekend, with a broader and drier warm sector around here. There are sizeable trends in the track of the low through the Midwest, with the main frontal forcing for precip now shifted farther N and W of NYC. Low-level flow is more southwesterly, which may allow temperatures to approach 70 Sunday once the front clears.
  21. purduewx80
    Will Wednesday's squalls be more impressive than tomorrow night's snow? Stay tuned...
  22. purduewx80
    Yeah, would like to see the front slow down and/or flow a little more westerly to get the 65+ it is showing.
  23. purduewx80
    NYC records are 63 and 66 on the 11th/12th and EWR's are 66 and 67, respectively. I still think fog/stratus could keep temps a bit cooler than what it's showing. This will probably change, but the ECMWF suggests convection along the front Saturday night may tap into a 65KT+ low level jet. Could be some damage on LI if that verifies.
  24. purduewx80
    No, it does not. It has 60s at EWR/NYC Sat-Sun and Tuesday.
  25. purduewx80
    coming ashore this morning but may not be fully sampled until 00Z tonight.
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