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SnowtoRain

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Everything posted by SnowtoRain

  1. SnowtoRain
    35.8/31.4
  2. SnowtoRain
    Not much change with 18z right now. I hope we can all cash in on some good rates. Marginal temps will be the biggest hurdle it looks like now.
  3. SnowtoRain
    Yeah quite the nice afternoon.
  4. SnowtoRain
    Blizzard warning, 10 to 13". Sounds like fun.
  5. SnowtoRain
    Nice jump, one more nudge west and we are really cooking. curious to see what Euro will do since it has been similar to cmc
  6. SnowtoRain
    Could be quite the gradient from western Talbot to your house. Mt Holly goalposts are still real wide 1 to 16" range...
  7. SnowtoRain
    Probabilistic snowfall range 1 to 16".
  8. SnowtoRain
    NAMs no change really still looks good for our region, more across DE
  9. SnowtoRain
    Would have been nice if guidance converged, I still like my earlier post of Greenwood, DE to the Atlantic Coast. I have a hard time believing the GFS.
  10. SnowtoRain
    Euro says what storm? 36 hours out and big disparity, seems a bit unusual
  11. SnowtoRain
    GFS slightly west with the heaviest band but really just noise level change between runs unless I am missing something
  12. SnowtoRain
    Icon similar as well
  13. SnowtoRain
    Correction 12k NAM is 20 to 40".
  14. SnowtoRain
    12k NAM casually drops 20 to 30" across all of Delmarva. 3k a bit more tame 10 to 20". Both show a long duration event. HRRR at redic range looked similar in evolution.
  15. SnowtoRain
    Looks like best potential accumulation atm would be somewhere around Greenwood DE to the Atlantic coast. Not sure what to expect for the midshore area of MD. Euro has this area between the major snow producing features and the American models have the coastal close enough to be 10+. USUALLY in this setup the coastal ends up further east and only the aforementioned areas cash in. I suspect this will be no different but the American model super duo make it tough to totally discount a more generous solution.
  16. SnowtoRain
    Seems like we are in the same spot with the models as yesterday at this time.
  17. SnowtoRain
    GFS is consistent with basically a hurricane forming off the lower shore of VA and dropping buckets of heavy snow. This is the 5th model run with a similar outcome. Not sure if all the ingredients were the same but the outcome is. Curious to say the least, especially only 48 hours out before the storm starts for parts of our region.
  18. SnowtoRain
    @CAPE @csnavywx thanks for the quick recap, appreciate not having to wade through the main thread to get to the main things to track over the next runs
  19. SnowtoRain
    So what are we dealing with? GFS gives a nice dream-like coastal with heavy snow or Euro et al. show an IVT and our best hope is the IVT sets up right over us. Seems like some narrow goalposts. @CAPE @csnavywx any deeper thoughts?
  20. SnowtoRain
    0.69"
  21. SnowtoRain
    So what's going on, nice rainy Sunday? Any garbage time flakes?
  22. SnowtoRain
    A good amount of the region is under severe drought or moderate drought per the US Drought Monitor. USGS river gaging stations are also showing below normal discharge.
  23. SnowtoRain
    9.3
  24. SnowtoRain
    Mesonet in Talbot County on the water gusted 51, Easton Mesonet 44, what is more impressive is wind is sustained around 30. 21.0 with a gust of 23.9 at my PWS
  25. SnowtoRain
    To my surprise I saw 10 snowflakes.
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