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SnowGolfBro

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Everything posted by SnowGolfBro

  1. We just need the model to meet at the benchmark and we are good to go!
  2. 1996 was like that for us (not saying this is anything like that). We were forecast for 1-3 3-4 days out, then 3-6, then 6-12 and then 24 hours out it was going to be the storm of the century. And it delivered lol
  3. Hey that gives my backyard 1.5 inches at 10-1 and with rates could be like 10-20
  4. I am sure they are saying we are in the bullseye to soon, congrats DC lol
  5. A lot of complicated pieces (what else is new) are going to come together in the next 48 hours. Small adjustments in wave spacing, low placement, etc can have huge downstream effects. If the 12z is awful we still have a chance to score. If 12z shows a huge hit we still have a chance to fail. Steady she goes…
  6. The GEFS ensembles hint that we aren’t done with the NW movements. Maybe they are out to lunch, but I’m going with them lol
  7. Would think better than 10-1 with this storm. .6 might be more like 6-10?
  8. when was the last Olympics? And maybe the one before that?
  9. Yea, that’s why all the cliff divers have me confused. Is it likely that we get 2 feet of snow, lol no it never is. But when a storm is projected on all the major models under 5 days in our general vicinity (say within a few hundred miles N, S, E or W we track), it’s what we do. And if it keeps trending out to sea over the next 24-36 hours then we move on.
  10. He definitely did lol. Now we just need to send him the bat signal to tell us the models will start catching on by this time tomorrow.
  11. I think the ensembles hold more value through 12z tomorrow. Then we should lean on the operational models inside of 72 hours
  12. When you have the cold in place there are so many more ways to score. Get some precip up this way in the next couple weeks and it will be frozen.
  13. The Euro doesn’t typically make big jumps in one run. A pausing of the east trend is at least enough to keep us in the tracking game.
  14. We want to be in/close to the bullseye on Thursday and Friday. Right now seeing a big storm close by inside 100 hours is pretty awesome and is a big part of the reason we do what we do. Keep hope alive!
  15. I believe the word is “cluster”. Pretty strong signal for a deepening lie around the benchmark.
  16. The difference between the Canadian and the GFS at this lead time is very small. It’s just that small difference makes a big difference for us lol.
  17. 1/2 of the ZR output on the Euro would be a bad ice storm for the DC metro. Hoping it’s wrong
  18. Hope it goes well! My daughter has her mock comp today too! Happy to get it in before the snow.
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