Kind of just pinpointing the heavy rain situation at this point. Looks like a STS from Wilmington to offshore NC on the table with 1-5 inches of rain from NC to CT.
GFS kind of trending this way run-over-run.
Could see an OBX skirting situation. Seems like every system this year has had a late eastern shift.
Nigel was originally showing a track west of Bermuda to only end up hundreds of miles east.