HeadInTheClouds

12 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

@Juliancolton I hope you're right. It sounds like most folks in the storm thread are pretty comfortable with it not being wet here at all. I don't trust any benchmark track storm with strong easterlies this close to the water.

Don't worry about the rain that may fall in the beginning. It will quickly change to snow as column cools. 

Just now, White Gorilla said:

Well I hope you are right.  Based on warning trends, I was thinking 60% ice, 40% snow, which is why I said more ice storm than snow storm.. We shall see. 

A lot of what falls is going to be sleet. That is very different from ZR. 

3 hours ago, White Gorilla said:

Hope you are right.  I don't want ZR.  This is looking more like an ice storm than snowstorm for the HV South of Kingston. Sucks.  

What is your definition of an ice storm? I'm 10 miles north of Poughkeepsie up route 9 and I am not expecting an ice storm. NWS Albany has us for 6-10 inches total of sleet and snow and about .10 of ice. I could see where I get 6 inches of snow from say 7pm to 2-3am and then quite a bit of sleet and then some freezing rain but I believe that that ice aspect will only be max maybe .20 inch which is not an all out ice storm like you describe. 

Even though Euro ticked north it still shows a good front end thump for HV, especially north of 84. Hour 66 shows .50 inch precip and about -5 850.