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BTRWx's Thanks Giving

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  1. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    I honestly see wobbles.
  2. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    I think the less suppression crowd is just getting lucky from a guess.
  3. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    When people say it looks less suppressive, are you looking at trends or the previous run?
  4. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Those who tried to give me an answer. I'm still seeking an explanation please.
  5. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Everyone is being so vague.
  6. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    fringed, not quite a hit
  7. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    I definitely didn't see it as early as others and still don't know what signaled it early.
  8. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    I don't know what to think yet. I was asking a serious question.
  9. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    What's better about it?
  10. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    The high is getting closer.
  11. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    The energy came onshore in the west pretty far south on the gfs.
  12. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    The Euro is a beauty guys, Takes the low all the way up the coast..Its basically a MECS and HECS all the way up. Dec 17 2009, 01:13 PM
  13. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    As the others trended west..ECM goes east... HPC take before the ECM now... BEFORE 00Z FRI...EXCLUDE THE 12Z ECMWF AFTER 00Z FRI...1/3 EACH GFS/CANADIAN/UKMET Dec 16 2009, 01:22 AM
  14. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    The first run the euro blew up a coastal in 2009 was day 5, but it's interesting to see no high to the north...from Accuwx forum
  15. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    The GFS is probably still facing some problems may be feedback, but it looks to have changed from the general ots story. Dec 15 2009, 11:09 PM
  16. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    The Euro is so close to a blizzard for the Mid-Atlantic. Dec 15 2009, 07:32 AM
  17. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    The PARA shows a very nice looking storm while it is OTS it shows it closer to the coast then the OP and shows it much more amplified defuently looking foward to 0z when the para takes over. Dec 14 2009, 05:31 PM
  18. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    The 12z Euro seems way out to see: Dec 14 2009, 03:44 PM
  19. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    0z Euro,0zGGEM are really nice looking solutions. The 6z GFS looked like it took a step to the Euro. Dec 14 2009, 08:55 AM
  20. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    at 132 hours...the storm heads way out to sea...not even scraping the NE/MA coastline....one word: SUPRESSION Dec 13 2009, 11:16 PM
  21. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    What is everyone getting all excited about? This "storm" is 7 days away, and we all know exactly how much can go wrong with potential snow events in the mid-atlantic and along the coast. To say this time period has "potential" for a big storm for this area, well remember all those other time periods this month that had big storm potential and the teleconnections and models looked great 1 week out? Exactly. Don't get your hopes up, a major snowstorm in NYC/PHI/DC/BAL is hard to get in general let along in December. The odds of big snow along I-95 this far out are still extremely low. Not trying to sound depressing, just stating reality. You never know, maybe the weather will surprise me Dec 13 2009, 07:53 PM
  22. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    The accuwx forums definitely signals some deja vu. eta: Not having -NAO is the biggest difference
  23. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    That's exactly where the problem comes in. Didn't we also think a week ago that today's storm was going to have a cold air mass in place with blocking? Some of us even said there was no need to worry about any lack of cold air, and here we are, in the 40s and 50s with rain. This is going to have to be watched carefully as the models will change more than several times until we get to the shorter range, possibly towards a whiter solution, possibly towards a wetter solution. Dec 13 2009, 06:37 PM
  24. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    All depends on where higher heights set up shop.
  25. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    ECM depcting PV phase with Southern energy, Snow breaking out from DC North at 174 Hours. Dec 13 2009, 01:45 AM
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