BTRWx's Thanks Giving

Not far off for D.C. either.

That's totally fine considering official winter hasn't started yet.

With the high centered to our north, we look to have sufficient cold air at the surface as the energy from the low to our west transfers to the coast and precipitation overspreads the region Wednesday morning. The potential for a more widespread wintry solution exists with this system with the cold air at the surface and low pressure tracking northeastward from the Carolinas and off the Delmarva Peninsula. Still plenty of time to watch this one at Day 6, but certainly bears watching given the above. For now, am advertising rain/snow mix east of the Blue Ridge, with snow the favored ptype to the west Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening.

Wow, that is so much better than yesterday! Impressive!

hybrid

Wow!

It's centered over Nina climo.

We've been seeing quite a few coastals so far, so it's all a matter of getting cold enough.

Tie game!

Congrats Richmond

Fwiw it doesn`t seem likely that we see any light accumulations further north into the DC metro area, but it can`t be completely ruled out if moisture can make it a little farther than anticipated.

Never trust the end of a model run.

I think part of the problem is a low develops too far off the coast.

This is my go to model for that time range.

hr 35?

You got to love Twitter's "You're in Control" popup, when clearly we're not.

The point was there was no clustering.

I wasn't here, but I'm glad it happened. I was asking for stricter guidelines for a long time. The more professional this site becomes, the better chance some institution will use us for real science.

Everyone knows deep inside we're all gearing up for a monster 2021-2022.

Blame DT's post.

Personally, I don't think the AO or NAO will drop low enough for our latitude to benefit.

That clustering has a lot of white space.

That would be rain.

Just a random comment, the new para gfs looks very similar to the euro throughout the run!

Really cool idea!