kvegas-wx

Ha! Sorry. Peeked at your profile. But that sort of makes it worse. Do better, cuz this is a sh*t show.

Mole hills are generally small and unimpressive. But if you want to make a mountain out of said mole hill, then by all means stand on it and preach brother Buddy! I don't think you will find much disagreement.

This is what we get when a guy from FL is allowed to start a winter storm thread.

Lets be honest though, the thrill factor with the kiddos just went from a solid 6.8 with just snow sledding to a 9.1 with an ice pack on top. This is the difference between a minor bump or bruise falling off the sled and becoming a human missile capable of shattering mailbox posts. ZR on top of IP on top of SN is about the best setup you could ask for in terms of fast sledding. It packs perfectly.

Oddly enough I had a discussion with a relative in Toledo this afternoon and they said their local met called BS on the southern storm specifically because the HP was weakening and not in the ideal position (retrograding?). Way above my paygrade of amateur weather, but seems to make sense if the models are forecasting a less significant CAD event with a much deeper warm nose. We may have just needed to wait until the ducks were all on the pond to see it.

The post mortem on this needs to be heavily discussed. We cannot fall for this again. Epic model failures for it to be 72-96 hours out.

We're not playing Yahtzee here. So get ready to crap out.

Cliff diving thread to the top already! As if the whole thing is rigged. Maybe more than the NFL is rigged. Nobody rigs weather better than us. When we think snow storm, boom! And I mean a big, beautiful Burger Boom comes flying in from abroad to fan the flames. And I don't mean any small flames, I mean the kind of flames that everyone is jealous about. Flames so hot that all weather models instantly turn our snow into drought busting rain storms when its 18° outside. Its basically raining hot water, because only the SE Forum could possibly dream up something this big. I'm talking the hottest rain anyone has ever seen. Rain so hot that no weather model will ever be able to safely predict a Miller A with a perfect phase ever again. So its rigged to keep us interested. And we fall for it every..freaking..time..when all we really need is some hot rain. #hotrain I need a drink.

0z would have me buying candles if I live anywhere in SC or GA. Trends have not changed much for a crippling ZR event and we're creeping inside of 72 hours. Man the sails and secure the hatches lads.

Ok, this thread just sucks now. I don't care about snow anymore. Lock the doors, shut it down. That's just damn sad about Burnsie!! Admittedly I don't hang in here a lot of the year outside of winter. But that news got by me. He was a great guy and an awesome forum mod. RIP indeed Burnsie.

Groceries, both generators running, firewood, propane, gas in the truck, bucket loader on the trailer and dog food purchased. All ready just in time to come in here and cliff dive with you fine folks. The bar is going to be busy so get those orders in early. She's a slip slidin' away as we speak.

Also sitting near Winston Salem. Stick around a few model runs and you may not feel like this will be fun. I think our chances of cold, quiet and dark are greater than white fluffy snow and sledding at this point. Mis-time this phase and we wave to our snow as it heads off into the abyss, or wherever all the snow goes that we seem to be missing.

This is storm related but not storm thread material. The Lowes in Kernersville has the heaters and generators stacked up front and they are flying off the shelves. Get one today or risk shivering! Grocery stores will be bombed by tomorrow night.

My amateur gut is telling me a system that continues to strengthen as modeled always ends up bringing the warmth with it causing all but the border counties in NC to mix, historically speaking. The problem is, as modeled, most of the NC forum sees 12+ before we would switch to several inches of sleet should that happen. 2"qpf?!? Ugh. I know one of you in here quietly wished for this and now it appears we're going to deal with it. Bueller? Bueller? Historic and catostrophic are not significant enough words given the broad swipe of winter that is about to happen. (Throughout the TN valley and MA too!)

Thats because they haven't seen it in a decade or so. Its like a GenXer in a Def Leppard t-shirt showing up to an EDM rave in the middle of an Ummet Ozcan mix set. Its going to look a little awkward! That blocking is LEGIT!