Thinksnow18

10 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Should of sent Matt with him..

Vermont would never be the same…

31 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Just like Binghamton, buff raised totala a little, at least for this area..

KBUF still 4-6” and point and click says 4-7”

19 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Nbm

5.2” at KBUF??? Obviously that doesn’t include the NAM…

1 hour ago, PerintonMan said:

Gradient should be much sharper. Syracuse area could very well get 8-12", but in that case BUF-ROC is not going to be 4-8".

My guess:

SYR - 10"

ROC - 3"

BUF - 2"

I’m siding with BW on this event. GFS has 4” at KBUF at 10-1. I expect a touch drier as we will be colder faster as the overrunning precip is in place. 4-6” is a good call. 

1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said:

Hopefully the stupid troll NAMS are wrong. GFS is tightening up the snowband. Rgem looks extremely similar.

Yeah if we get a dusting in WNY we’ll be lucky 

59 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

What the hell is going on over there? Lol

Now they’re day vaping…

51 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

KBUF spot on with following Euro, way east. Looks like 2-4" here. 

Question is how do they choose a model when the scores for said model this year have been shaky at best? I think NAM has been best inside 72 hours. 

1 hour ago, rochesterdave said:

I get that. I really do. This one should be yours. 

You need to quit day vaping pure THC!!! West for the win!!!

1 minute ago, vortmax said:

Surprisingly similar so far out. 

IF we’ve learned anything at all this winter…trust the NAM. It has been right at the end of the day with the NW and north shifts better than any model. That’s the one I’m interested in most only 60 hours out

1 hour ago, lakeeffectkid383 said:

Member 19 has 1” at BUF while member 20 has 2 feet + lmao. 

The Jekyll and Hyde maps

I hear a whole field of crickets ATM…

5 minutes ago, vortmax said:

That is a tough one. Wait until the very last second to get more model runs in.

I feel like this year the big storms have been modeled well in advance. This is only 4 days out. If the models are keying in now it’s just about the track now.

Just saw a local meteorological legend in Don Paul state that Friday night-Saturday look interesting. 

Oddly we haven’t seen a BW poolside sighting…yet…

11 hours ago, tombo82685 said:

be careful of those LR gfs runs bringing the hammer of cold. GFS in LR has a bad cold bias right now. 

Yes but isn’t the EPS doubling down as well?

1 minute ago, 96blizz said:

Would be an awesome event if I still liked snow!  

Pulling out your inner Matt???

1 minute ago, lakeeffectkid383 said:

Yes 110” is about average here so I’m definitely hoping for that but time is starting to run out to get another 15” this season. What’s your seasonal total at? 

I’m a bit less than you at 86.3” for the season so not far off the 93” seasonal at KBUF. I’m hoping for 100” and I’m liking next weeks chances 

6 hours ago, lakeeffectkid383 said:

Finished with 2.3” here. Not bad. Getting ever so close to the 100” mark at 95.3” on the season. 

My guess is 110” might be the mark you’re shooting for…

Just now, TugHillMatt said:

It actually looks pretty good through Tuesday (just ignore the typical lesser amount in CNY compared to the rest of those in the "main band.")

 

And that’s not Kuchera either

1 hour ago, tim123 said:

After first week much of March looks wintry.

 Very

Just now, tim123 said:

18z colder

Yessir

13 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

I guess it’s down to me and Wolfie hoping on winter. 

I think there’s plenty of winter left. In fact I’m surprised they think the GFS is a “warm” solution for Monday. If you look at it close enough the Niagara frontier never gets out of mixed precip and changes to all snow. The 00z was a nice hit and the off hour 6z was the warmer solution. 18z up now

51 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Euro has it too

I’m late to the game but have been following the models all day…winter far from over on both models…in fact it might dig its heels in deeper 

26 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

Is this a typo?  Rochester was warmer than Buffalo and Syracuse? 

I think he meant colder 

1 hour ago, wolfie09 said:

Sizzle sizzle early next week..

 

 

The permafrost is about to melt…