Hotair
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Everything posted by Hotair
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SAR shows 95 knot sustained winds in NE quadrant. Safe to say we have a Cat2 for now
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The approach and transit through 70W will certainly provide high quality suspense to cane fans everywhere
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That was 12 hours ago?
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Anyone have any opinion on how well Gainesville should fare? Have a kid at UF
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Plenty of time left over hot water to get to CAT 3. May even sneak up close to 4 as it approaches the Coast. If it doesn’t, it certainly won’t be because of a lack of an energy source given the record high GoM water temps.
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That little eastward jog on the Sat loop has me a bit worried here in Tampa
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Eye wall is clearing on sat. First time I see a respectable eye wall on Idalia.
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Cuban weather radar indicates the eyewall of Idalia has closed off. Some RI is expected now. Storm is moving at a healthy 14 mph which is nearly 2x as fast as day prior. This is good as it limits the amount of uncertainty in the cone.
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Jim Cantore arrived in Gainesville tonight and is headed to Cedar Key. recall he was at Clearwater Beach last year when Ian made landfall in Ft. Myers
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Radio Minas from Pinar Del Rio Cuba is reporting gusts of 73.9 mph and sustained at 56 mph.
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Even if the models prove accurate, Idalia’s strongest winds by far are in the SE quadrant presently. I can’t imagine a scenario where Tampa Bay region avoids seriously damaging surge as it moves toward the big bend or even Tallahassee
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Cuban Radar
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Operator on ham radio saying heavy rain, lightning and 50 mph gusts also some flooding in Pinar Del Rio Cuba. Power is off.
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There’s lots of chatter now that latest models have shifted LF guidance about 30 miles West. But didn’t these runs initialize with a 20 to 30 mile westerly offset ?
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970s? Was this validated ? Wow was in the 990s less than an hour ago.
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You are absolutely correct. I stand corrected.
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I’m aware of the Tampa bubble which has evaded hurricane landfalls in the region for many decades. I was not aware until tonight that the last major hurricane to hit the Big Bend was back in 1896! If Idalia slams into the region as a Cat 3 or 4 it will be the first time most of the current structures in that area get tested by a proper storm
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Exactly. People listening to tonight’s evening news trying to decide if they should follow evac orders certainly got a mixed message from the Mets here.
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Can we take just a brief moment to acknowledge just how beautiful a cane that Franklin over in the Atlantic has become ? What an absolute beast!
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Tampa TV Mets are downplaying this storm bigly. Saying this will be little more than a wind event for the area. I hope they are right in their bravado.
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Found 983 mb on latest dropsonde Idalia may get a promotion as soon as the 8 pm advisory.
