FatherNature

Too early to talk about the March 4th-6th storm?

You can skip to the last step. Thank you.

This is the tradition of every storm in the Carolinas... 1. Storm on GFS about 7-10 days out, weenies come out. Other models start to show a little something. 2. Storm disappears off for a day or two at the 5-7 day range, cliff diving commences. 3. Storm reappears on some of the models 5 days out, but not both the Euro and GFS. Just one. 4. Northwest trend occurs, and NAM comes in with a clown map we all dream of. 5. Words like “Plaster, Destroy, Ravage, Mutilate, Nuked, Crushed, and Pulverised” are used when speaking of predicted radar maps. 6. Storm shows up on the other global model, but wait, it might be too warm! 7. Dang it. South Carolina never gets anything! 8. Warm Nose and soil temps. 9. Why aren’t the Local Mets and NWS more aggressive? 10. Forget the globals, it’s HRRR time. 11. Storm starts. 12. Warm nose 13. Virginians show up to talk about how they are doing well with the storm. 14.Half the board jumps to this thread.

When the north trends happen and it becomes a mid-Atlantic storm

So the QPF is trending up due to a wider moisture field, is not a trend? Didn’t you get banned in the Dorian thread?

If I could turn back time.... do do do do do

When you have had enough of TH

I come back to the boards and now I’m laughing my kibble and bits off at the main thread. All the friction has stopped the hurricane.

Did you get in a fight with a weak 2x4 and lose?

I wouldn’t even bother. He doesn’t understand the point nor does he understand the concept of wishcasting.

Clearly there is something you aren’t understanding, so let’s just agree to disagree. Maybe our understanding of the word wishcasting is different.

I’m just happy after 8 years my post was the one that got him to say something.

It’s wonderful that other Mets have discussed that possibility, WHILE DISCUSSING THE OTHER POSSIBILITIES AS WELL. Again, what he was talking about was the people who ONLY talk about that scenario. They don’t have to say it.

I don’t think the problem he is talking about is expressing an opinion or thought. I think the problem is the constant talk about the hurricane going WSW, every wobble, and every mention of very poor unreliable model guidance in terms of track. That would be less of expressing an opinion/thought to more of a find anything that fits their agenda which is dang near wishcasting to me.

Is this hurricane de-centralized?

Why call when you can just drive

Oh I see what you did there...

I heard Alabama is in the line of the hurricane, when does evacuations start there?

We got people doing every radar echo as a SW bobble in a storm moving 5MPH and now they are all over the HWRF track, and someone posted a IBM Supercomputer model? I need some alcohol for that main thread

I knew my grandparents should of invested in a property on this road in 1960

With all these SW wobbles and trends... when does it hit Cancun?

Nothing like a major hurricane or major winter storm for the ICON model to be relevant

So I printed out a bunch of papers of the Atlantic Ocean on my living room floor, Stranger Things style, and placed Dorian Long/Lat from the past 1 hour on a minute by minute basis. It looks like it went a hair south.

There must be a lot of leaves and Lowe’s in the Bahamas with all the raking that Dorian is said to be doing

I’m really interested to see where the 540 line is going to set-up.