StormChazer

Latest Euro.

12Z Icon normal 10:1 snow ratios. You can practically double these numbers because it will be teens to possibly single digits while snowing.

Here was the 06Z Euro.

GFS just doesn't want to get on board yet on the location. Location being Tulsa. I don't need to see half this board get 6+ inches and we get a dusting. Let's see what the noon run says today.

Well well, look who is now in line with location.

Here are the kuckera totals of the big 3 from 12Z.

This was the last frame of the 06Z Euro run. Included kuchera snow totals. 8-10 inches for most of us with more snow to come. Will eagerly await the 12z EURO run. Would love to see the GFS shift SW to fall in line with the Canadian, Euro and Icon. If those other 3 hold, then it's likely the GFS will cave. Almost reaching blizzard criteria in a few areas.

Got some great Thunder sleet around 4:30AM this morning in Tulsa. Roads are ok for now, mostly it's slushy from the sleet. My concern is that by 5PM today, they are going to start hardening and become really slick. I'll try to upload an awesome video I got of the thundersleet. You don't see the flash because I just missed it, but I got the BOOM., It was within a mile of me and set off car alarms.

Potential road nightmare for Tulsa tomorrow morning, followed by another chance of winter weather this weekend and then all three models showign a robust winter storm next week. Lots of chances for winter weather lovers!

This is amazing. Thank you!

Is it too soon to be talking about this already? The big 3 are all sniffing something next weekend.

Checking in after a serene and beautiful snowy night in Tulsa. It looks like we picked up around 5-6 inches of snow in Owasso on the north side of Tulsa and it was still snowing on my way to work this morning, so we might have added another 1/2 inch. Southern side of town got closer to 6-7. It's very rare we get a model trend change in the last 24 hours that drastically IN OUR FAVOR. We went from 1-3 inches predicted in Tulsa, to 4-6 predicted. Other places on this forum got an even more drastic snowfall prediction change. It reminds me of when I was a kid in the early 2000's. I loved the weather just as much back then, but as a 10 year old in 2000, I didn't have access to weather models, etc. I just sat in front of the TV watching the weather channel or every local news station, obsessing over any minor change. So it was easier back then to be surprised by a storm in a good way, because I simply didn't have the models at my fingertips like I do now. So this storm felt like a nice throwback.

New NWS Map. Widespread 8-12 inches!

There we go. Tulsa caved. Winter Storm Warning issued.

It's now lightly snowing in Tulsa. Looked out my window at work.

OKC Just majorly expanded the warning area. Come on Tulsa, do it already!

I think as soon as the snow begins to impact the southern metro area, they will include it. But yeah, I'm surprised they didn't do it when they upgraded Okmulgee County to the south.

Another Warning expansion by TUL. Now backs up to the Tulsa metro area. I expect as this snow gets closer, that is when they will pull the trigger on including Tulsa county.

Sraight from the Tulsa NWS page. This should in theory justify them upgrading most of the office area to a Winter Storm Warning.

OKC Upgraded to Winter Storm Warnings. I'm sure Tulsa will be the same shortly.

NAM held onto Its crazy idea from last night on this morning’s run. Let’s see what the morning runs say here in the next hour. Winter Storm warnings expanded north, almost to Tulsa. Also appears to be a few hours ahead of schedule.

Here's a model dump of the NW trend.

Yeah, like someone just said. A day ago it abandoned the storm altogether for everyone in TX and OK. So will want to see other models trend that way too before buying it. Still, 16 hours out from the onset of a storm, and these are the trends you want to see.

I do but I can’t post it right now. The 0Z HRRR dumps 4-5 inches in NW AR and SW MO and about 3.5-4 in Tulsa. It’s an uptick across the board.

The NAM just lost its ever loving mind. The high res version drops 6 inches in Tulsa, and the lower res drops close to a foot of snow in Tulsa….