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bluehens

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Posts posted by bluehens

  1. Another storm 15 days away. Wash rinse repeat. Just have to think this isn’t our year. Too many LR head fakes already and my guess is it continues. 
     

    One thing I have really taken away this winter is how much model output is driven by MJO and how difficult it is to get the MJO right. 

    • Like 1
  2. 2 hours ago, Winter Wizard said:

    I grew up very close to the high elevation spot and in marginal events, there can be a significant difference between my house and ILG. Best recent example I can think of is 2/3/14 where I received over 4 inches and the airport barely got 1. In the last winter I measured every event in North Wilmington (2014-15), I received about 30% more snow than the airport over the season.

    That being said, I do understand @RevWarReenactor's frustration about the area because that area is often painstakingly close to bigger events but ends up on the wrong side of the gradient.  @psuhoffman outlined this before with Miller Bs, but it's true for mixed events and southern sliders too. Mdecoy's situation is a bit worse than mine was when I lived in DE, but I still missed out on events such as 2/1994, 12/1995, 12/14/13, and 3/4/19 by maybe 20 miles. Meanwhile storms like 1/30/10, both March 2014 storms, 2/16/15, and 1/13/19 were advisory level storms while downstate and the DMV got crushed. Delaware is also pretty susceptible to dry slotting during big Miller As, which was most evident in the Blizzard of 2016 when NCC was a relative minima compared to the surrounding areas. 

    I have found over the years that North Wilmington's climo is much closer to PHL readings than ILG in general.

    Your memory is much better than mine with regard to missing out on events but more often than not we miss out by being too far south rather than north.  Same could be said for most on this forum.  I think we end up doing pretty well relative on the Miller A storms.  2016 was a bad one for us though because we were just stuck in the subsistence of the band west of us for like 10 straight hours.  Never got into the heavies.

    I will say though that I experienced 27" and 21" from the 2 Feb '10 storms and I was in Newark DE for 1996 and we measured 31".

    • Like 1
  3. 39 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

    The high point is in the hills NW of Wilmington near the PA line. But I figured he must have meant biggest hill by vertical top to bottom. That might be true. I know the hill he is talking about. But it’s defini not the highest point in Delaware. 

    Actually the highest elevation in DE is 448 feet and it’s just slightly NE of Wilmington right on the PA border. I live a mile from there and my elevation is about 400 ft. I work in the city of Wilmington and it’s crazy how much of a snow difference that 400 ft makes. 

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  4. 8 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

     

     

    Tornado Watch

    TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 292
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    110 PM EDT WED MAY 29 2019
    
    TORNADO WATCH 292 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
    
    DEC003-300000-
    /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0292.190529T1710Z-190530T0000Z/
    
    DE
    .    DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    NEW CASTLE
    $$
    

     

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