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Vice-Regent

Weenie
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Everything posted by Vice-Regent

  1. Vice-Regent

    Hurricane Dorian Banter Thread

    Truely a beautiful and peaceful place that has been taken from us in a indefinite emotional cost.
  2. Vice-Regent

    Hurricane Dorian Banter Thread

    I wonder how many lucky breaks we will get. Maybe the HAARP people were right.
  3. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    The decline in structure and convection was largely the result of the EWRC. This tropical cyclone reminds me of Joaquin in many ways in that case we avoided a Sandy-challenger here in the Mid-Atlantic. I am sure most of you guys remember the modeling for Joaquin.
  4. Vice-Regent

    Hurricane Dorian Banter Thread

    You may want to rethink your retirement plans after this hurricane or at the very least reconsider buying coastal property.
  5. Vice-Regent

    Hurricane Dorian Banter Thread

    God willing Josh Mogerman did not look at the 0z HMON. I think he's made it through sub 900mb landfalls but the Bahamas are very flat for the most part.
  6. Vice-Regent

    Hurricane Dorian Banter Thread

    The question is how do you feel about this? I'll take the CMC over the GFS any day of the week.
  7. Vice-Regent

    Hurricane Dorian Banter Thread

    That would be the weather equivalent of fake news.
  8. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    I prefer my purely tropical rainshield. We can work on it. Don't worry I am skeptical about the interaction with the WAR and hurricane.
  9. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Something is not right. You know it's true. It's too early to lock in any solutions in the medium range.
  10. Vice-Regent

    Hurricane Dorian Banter Thread

    No soup for you.
  11. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Keep in mind it's earlier in the season and Matthew came in weak and left weak for the most part. It cannot be any drier than the Main Development Region.
  12. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Hurricane Joaquin sank a modern cargo ship in the same general area. That was incredible and unprecedented as well as tragic. An American cargo ship—the 791 ft (241 m) El Faro[101]—went missing near Crooked Island with 33 crew members (28 Americans and 5 Poles) amid 20 to 30 ft (6.1 to 9.1 m) seas near the hurricane's eyewall.[102][103][104] The vessel was last reported to have lost propulsion and begun to list around 7:30 a.m. local time on October 1.[102][105] Hurricane Hunters aircraft investigating the storm flew much lower than normal in an unsuccessful effort to locate the stricken ship.[102] The United States Coast Guard conducted searches during the day of October 2 without success; efforts resumed at dawn on October 3.[106] On October 3, a lifebuoy from El Faro was recovered about 75 mi (121 km) northeast of the ship's last known position.[74] Floating containers and "deck objects" were discovered by the Coast Guard on the next morning, and oil sheen was noted in the area, though it was not conclusively linked to the missing vessel.[104] A 225 sq mi (580 km2) debris field consisting of wood, cargo, styrofoam, and other objects was discovered that afternoon.[107] The joint mission conducted by the Coast Guard, Air Force, Navy, and Air National Guard covered more than 242,000 sq mi (630,000 km2) in search of the vessel and its crew. The Coast Guard called off search operations at sunset on October 7, with the ship and her crew presumed lost.[108][109] One body, presumed to be from the El Faro, was recovered.[110][111] A Navy salvage team was requested, at the behest of the National Transportation Safety Board, to search for the wreckage.[112]
  13. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    For all of the non-believers out there ... you have been waiting for this setup all your life. Andrew dethroned soon.
  14. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Just think about it. If such a scenario is unavoidable then at least parking Dorian over the gulf stream will diminish the upwelling.
  15. Vice-Regent

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    You will be missed.
  16. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    18z HWRF hot off the presses with a very tight and potent inner core structure. Primed for RI
  17. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    The inner weenie inside has been eyeing down this scenario for some time. Anyone and everyone is still very much in this game. God willing it is adjusted eastward. Ensemble member 19 from the 12z EPS
  18. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Why 18z GFS initialize so weak? That's not cool'
  19. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    We will need all of the help we can get if it's this strong already.
  20. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    I mean look at how far west TD6 got with a terrible 500mb pattern. Synoptic meteorology is a intuitive exercise. I think it was supposed to cross 39N 70W as recently as two days ago.
  21. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    I am aware but anyone expecting a full recurve away from the CONUS is failing to understand pattern recognition. It's just better to not give it a chance over the wide open bathtub waters of the SW Atlantic with unprecedented upper level ventilation.
  22. Vice-Regent

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    Give it some time. Here is the high-resolution output for the PRE (Predecessor Rainfall Event) from 18z NAMNEST. Edit: JMA is a double SNE-special from TD6 and Dorian.
  23. Vice-Regent

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    You don't want this to go OTS. Trust me. We need as much land and shear interaction as possible.
  24. Vice-Regent

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    TD 6 is your baby. Enjoy it guys. It will probably rapidly intensify and pump the heights over Maritime Canada.
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