PB-99

42 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Will the MJO going into 7 and 8 help us at all in March?

There`s convection all over. The convection in the Maritime Pacific probably inserts it`s forcing into the pattern more than the convection in the I/O. 

And with the AO so strong it just bullies the mid latitude pattern regardless. 

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Even with an improved MJO?

Yes, all you will do is force PAC air into any trough.

The forcing may push on the SE ridge but the flow has no Arctic influence.

You are left with a muted effect if the heights can`t build over the top. 

13 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

You dont see any signs of improvements towards the end of the month ?

The negative never leaves Alaska, the Pacific flow maintains itself.

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Roundy plots have it collapsing in 6/7 then a new wave forming in p1/2. We also have a Kelvin wave in p8. 

Convection everywhere 

1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

That's actually not quite true.

There have been 37, 6 inch or more events at KNYC in December and 31 in March. If you include April there are 38, 6 inch events from March 1 on which  does beat December by 1. I posted a breakdown in the banter thread by month.

 

 I believe either Don S or Uncle had shown where there were more in March than Dec.

I remember reading that in here. ( Possible It was combined as you say ) . 

We " may " head towards p8 to open March if this wave doesn`t die like the last one just did in late Jan.

Although there are more 6 inch snows at KNYC in March than in December, the book has already closed for me on this winter. 

Why bother. 

Next run, 

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

You forgot 11-12

I had 10 inches of snow that October.

9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

96-97  10, 97-98,  is # 2 .  98-99  12.7 have to be up there....

This year, # 3 for sure. 

Top 5 worst KNYC.

This year is ranked # 3 for me. 

1. 01- 02 3.5 

2. 97- 98 5.5

3. 19 - 20 8 so far in Colts Neck 

4. 88 - 89 8.1

5. 94- 95 11.8

3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

really ? please explain with some graphics from models

Flizzard.

 Feb 24, 2016  

20 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Eps mean for Saturday is 2-4 inches for the area. But I’ll believe that when I see it 

Better than 0 z 

But can you trust anything that is splitting 60`s before it and 70 after it. 

Let`s let this one fizzle to another 0 and then we are owed a big year.  @bluewave

Next year or the one after. 

Don`t even want to try salvage anything here, let it die the death it deserves.

Just now, Brian5671 said:

saving a bunch of money on heating costs this "winter"

A/C may go on.

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Lots of energy diving into the west coast next week. I don’t see how we don’t get into a warm sector of a big cutter.

Def

Rain to Montreal 

LOL .

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

The epitome of this winter, flooding rains on Friday to a chance of a half inch of snow Saturday night lol. Spring can’t come soon enough 

I agree with all of the above, but let me also add a " jump zone " to it. 

The wave is garbage on the Euro 

We are looking at close to 3 inches of RAIN by Friday PM along I/95