PB-99

100

https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/nj/colts-neck-township/KNJCOLTS26

19 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

"Stuck Pattern":

The MJO has now been bottled up in Phases 1 and 2 for 56 consecutive days. Here's the latest 40-day chart:

Don't worry come December it will be in 4/5/6 for winter.

Getting rocked in Colts Neck 

F- 0 IMO

15 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Not the versions after around 12z... but prior to that NAM3k, HRRR etc were pretty robust on a 5-9P line traversing virtually all of our area.  This happens sometimes, the models see something for several cycles well in advance, then lose it in shorter lead time (not good and inconsistent). However, when 12z runs didn't init well for 16z radar, we had a hint the models had problems.  Anyway a number of 1.5-2.5" reports today from near Mount Olive Township to near Glen Gardner. Probably going to be some road travel problems by 745PM in more eastern parts of paved regions in NJ due to excessive short term rainfall. Also noting more and more severe reports from the mid afternoon ne PA complex. 

It just appears more robust and larger in to S in coverage than what I was looking at earlier.

Good call on your part from Sunday having this on your radar.

What a gorgeous line, the models never really saw this to this extent.

99

https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/nj/colts-neck-township/KNJCOLTS26

1 minute ago, Rjay said:

 

Slow cook ribs. 

94 / RF 109 - OUCH 

https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/nj/colts-neck-township/KNJCOLTS26

Just now, Rjay said:

Nah it's 106

Love the real feel. 

93 in Colts Neck.

Someone needs to fix the thermometer 

https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/nj/colts-neck/07722

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
357 AM EDT Mon Jul 20 2020

NJZ010-012-013-020-027-PAZ101-103-202100-
/O.CON.KPHI.EH.W.0001.000000T0000Z-200721T0000Z/
Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-
Western Chester-Western Montgomery-
Including the cities of Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold,
Jackson, Wharton State Forest, Honey Brook, Oxford, Collegeville,
and Pottstown
357 AM EDT Mon Jul 20 2020

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerously hot conditions with heat index values up to
  110.

* WHERE...Portions of Central New Jersey and the western suburbs
  in southeastern Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Extreme heat and humidity will significantly increase
  the potential for heat related illnesses, particularly for those
  working or participating in outdoor activities.

95 in Colts Neck.

Awesome day.

Tomahawk on the BBQ, Don Julio in the cup holder on the float.

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Euro maxes out temperatures  Sunday and Monday with the highest dew points Monday. Also has convection along a weak front on Monday. Should the convection and clouds hold off, then temperatures and heat indices would be higher Monday.

 

 

Should be some decent convection around on Monday.

Monday has some  potential 

It`s coming ! 

Held together nicely.

A nice cell on radar headed towards me.