They will. There's more then enough elevated instability left, non existent Marine influence..I think theyll hold. We usually all do well with storms that are moving SEish. Obviously folks will miss out as this isn't a 100 mi squall
Oh no doubt. That warning for the first storm definitely wasn't needed. OKX has always been trigger happy. Turned on the scanner and heard reports of a sinking/overturned boat off Liberty State Park in Jersey City, also report of a downed tree that fell onto a house.
Theres going to be wind damage here in Jersey City with this second storm. Radar indicated downburst. Im about a 2 mi west of the worst of it. Hearing tons of sirens already
Even though shear is weak, I think the 18z 3k NAM has a good handle on the ongoing convection near Scranton,PA. I think the showers hold into NYC. Some elevated instability to work with as well. See what happens.
@NycStormChaserwhat ya think?
Yup, you can almost always expect an increase in tstorm coverage with an outflow boundary nearby and an approaching cold front. Especially in this type of airmass.