Greg

5 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Gonna be close, I think its 27.5 or so for current record so 28 will do it.

I always did not like how they measured that President's Day storm with that 27.5" deal (Easy to look up COOP) but with '78 being 27.1" at Logan with heavy wind at the time, I say you have a shot of getting to the 26.3" that fell in the Big snow of Feb 26-28, 1969, storm. But we'll see. Harvey Leonard stated earlier that because of the drifty nature of this it could be tough to measure, just like in '78.

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

2-4 AM i feel

Correct.

2 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

Great Euro run. 965mb just off the Cape.  By the way this run brings snow to every place in New England.  From the SW corner of Connecticut to Caribou Maine.  Not one person sees a flip or a mix.  When was the last time that happened?

What a frickin ride this week.  Off to bed so I can wake up early.  Thanks to all the great analysis.  Some are indicating a bit of mix on Nantucket, maybe Chatham, but for the most part yes.

 

 

No Double Low on the HRRR here on TT.

1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said:

HRRR has been coming back west the past two runs. Could just be noise but 22z looks better than 18z in terms of low placement to me.

I hear yah. Been watching it too.

Just now, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Is that Koochie?

yes

Unreal!

Just now, HimoorWx said:

You spelled argument incorrectly, you #%*&ing moron!  There, I'll start it for you.  

Damit! 

I was going to say something positive that I saw but don't really want to start an arguement.

1 minute ago, RI Rob said:

NAM's going to save the day. I have faith! 

I'm not even going there.

2 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Did the Jan 7th storm end up chasing that eastward convection? I didn’t care in the end because I got like 9-10 inches but I’m just curious.  

yes

Confluence may be stronger here.

Comparing both 54 hour 18Z and 48 hour 00z position.

I'm just quietly waiting to see the 1AM Euro to compare the whole 00z Model suite.

3 minutes ago, ice1972 said:

IDK what that means @40/70 Benchmark said it......

LOAD BLOWN SOUTHWEST

5 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Only 12k NAM and Euro show this as some bombed-out HECS monster. GGEM/GFS/ICON/3k NAM/RGEM all show something fairly "standard." Still a nice storm but not something that will be endlessly referenced here for years to come.

Actually, it's the 12K 00Z and to a lesser extent 18Z Euro show this. We'll see what the 00Z Euro says at 1 AM this morning.

6 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Harv didn't flinch with the 0z NAM

24+ all of eastern Mass

I saw that. He's not putting everything into the NAM. He's looking at the whole model suite.

Totals go out to hour 60- 63.

I'm really just curious of just how wild this might actually get on Saturday. Fluffy blowing snow. Gusts 45-50MPH with temps in the low to mid 20's. Sounds good to me. 

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

What did Blue Hill measure in ‘78.  I feel I should know that

30.1"

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yeah. 78 had multiple tidal cycles and it really piled up.  This will be too fast moving

Correct It was a longer in duration storm and had a wider spread 30"+ area. 

4 minutes ago, SnowlieSnowstormson said:

Where would the band set up in relation to the black/grey shading? On top of it or just the left?

Usually that frontogen ends up being on the northern and western rim of that, think back over 2 weeks ago and where the true frontogen was vs modeled by the latest models at that time.

2 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said:

Flurries for EWB, storm is starting really early.

No

2 minutes ago, skierinvermont said:

Yeah I saw the Jan 15 at Groton. It's patchy though. I'm pretty confident my parents have never had 2'+ in the last 25 years. And I don't think they would have in 96 or 78 either. So possibly never? Maybe in 78.. I couldn't find a detaled map for that one but I thought the bigger totals were east

I think Groton, CT itself had 17-18" there in '78 if I'm not mistaken.