Greg

44.7F Partly sunny.

27F still just cloudy here. Don't expect much here at all. Maybe a couple of inches, tops.

Wilmington / Cloudy 20.0F

They are. They're slightly warmer aloft.

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Looks warmer to me

Same here.

7 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

It has me at 1-2 inches that's what I have now so we'll see how it performs.

Makes me wonder a little if we should take the "Positive Depth Change map" and average the "forecast map" together and the truth of what really falls may lie somewhere between there. Just a mere tongue and cheek thought.

There is one more type of map we don't really talk about or go over much on these forums but the 12KM and 3KM have a "positive Snow Depth Change" feature. Not sure how accurate it is or what its' algorithms take into consideration but, it shows a lower amount of snow left over than the snowfall forecast. Not sure either how much it has verified in the past. Just brought it up because many want to know how much snow will be left after the rain or any sleet at all. So, check it out if you want, even post them if so. Just another tool to merely look at.

7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

wont be much sleet in my opinion

Not sure either. It could go from a heavy snow to rain without much sleet getting in at all. Interesting situation. The duration of the true snowfall rates of the front end and rain will be paramount to how it all plays out.

Just now, JC-CT said:

*includes sleet*

I know.. Read what I wrote.

The 3KM clown map seems to be the realistic outcome on this storm. It takes the sleet into consideration here.

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No

yes....and it's not just noise, bank on it.

west....

3 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

34 degree rain instead of 36 degree rain

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

But did you see the 2ndary 

https://i.imgur.com/20MTLiV.jpg

Secondary will produce junk.

4 minutes ago, leo2000 said:

Gotta be at close to 90 cms. 

Close to 35.0". Interesting! Love to see the drifts.

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Lol, trying to give ORH 8-10” this run. Not buying it. Euro is going to fold like a cheap suit to the NAM I bet. 

Same here.

It's more than a Nam/Euro battle. Many of the others are closer to the Nam track than the Euro. So the Euro is either on to something or will cave eventually. Time will certainly tell relatively shortly.

Just now, Great Snow 1717 said:

I think that some people think that 2015 has a high chance of being repeated. I do not. 

Me neither. I sell that.

4 minutes ago, DFRI said:

Yup.  2015 

 

Seriously? 

14 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

I stayed up til midnight figuring we'd have no school and when I got up at 6am and looked out my window it was blue skies, thought things went south. I ran downstairs and looked out the door and the snow was above the top step, it was fours steps up to the porch and all I could see of my car was the black Landau top, car was buried. Never seen anything like it and then we got the wraparound squalls Tuesday into the afternoon and picked up another foot, just an amazing storm I'll never forget.

what you just described must have looked something like this....

9 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

0z Euro pbp, anyone?
Bueller? 

Not sure if many people care to look at it. Maybe some watching with one eye through the space between their fingers.

9 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

That's what the blizzard of 78 looked like when I kept looking out my window at the street light, went on for hours and hours.

I actually thought the same thing. Super Blizzard '78 went all sideways at the height of the storm during those late Monday night and early Tuesday morning hours. Like a perpetual snow gun or massive white blast sideways. 

13 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I would say it can’t get much worse on the NAM but we still need to get the mix line up to Phin. 

Based on the way this thing is looking, even poor Phin won't be all snow. I've seen something like this before.