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Greg

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Everything posted by Greg

  1. I would wait for the big guy "EC" before updating.
  2. You can use the Kuchera but it is a little misleading with the fluff factor potential. It usually over does it. But fun to look at none the less.
  3. You posted it too early my friend. Go to about 66 Hours. That's when the storm is done in all.
  4. We all have to be a little more reasonable on this board for crying out loud. I've seen this happen for years now. Everybody knows the NW bias of the Canadian and NAM models at this juncture. The north tics are obviously there, but not like that where it takes the omega to northern New England in one shift. Come on now! Do many of you think the National Weather Service Mets Boston/Norton, MA are going to take that verbatim? Seriously.
  5. That Storm was lacking a High to the North. This storm has one this time to keep the cold air in.
  6. That's way too far north to be real. Doesn't match watch you see in the LE map below. Look at Essex County in MA. That's all fluffy snow with no mix.
  7. I agree. It is the 3K Nam of course at this juncture.
  8. Don't know why I earned a weenie for that observation Ray. You should be able to see that also in the LE Ukmet totals.
  9. Something funny about those WE totals vs the snow they produce doesn't make sense on the UKie. The air column is very cold, it should produce nearly 15-1 ratios in that.
  10. That picture is a little too early to post, hour 72 or so is better.
  11. Out to hour 66, needs a couple more frames to finish here in Eastern MA.
  12. GFS should be starting any time now. Let's see if it can see the light.
  13. Verbatim, not really. It depends on how you know how to correct for its' bias. Meaning in terms of true snowfall and area coverage.
  14. Out to hour 69 looks real nice. I just wish it was only 29 hours out.
  15. Go out to about Hour 69 and I think the snow is done in Eastern MA for a true total.
  16. The problem with the upstream mess is that it comes with an overall active northern jet stream during this La Nina. High traffic.
  17. Watch the confluence, higher heights ahead means the center rides northeastward then takes a sharp turn do east because of that.
  18. Some models actually have the mix line getting close/in Philly. Track is everything there for them.
  19. That's actually a good sign. Thank you so much for posting that which shows the different stages of it's evolution with each model run
  20. I agree, Harvey seems to get it. Not too high, not too low just about right with a chance of movement north or south depending on future runs. Good job Harvey.
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