Greg
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Everything posted by Greg
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Comparing both 54 hour 18Z and 48 hour 00z position. -
I'm just quietly waiting to see the 1AM Euro to compare the whole 00z Model suite.
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Actually, it's the 12K 00Z and to a lesser extent 18Z Euro show this. We'll see what the 00Z Euro says at 1 AM this morning.
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I saw that. He's not putting everything into the NAM. He's looking at the whole model suite.
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Totals go out to hour 60- 63.
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I'm really just curious of just how wild this might actually get on Saturday. Fluffy blowing snow. Gusts 45-50MPH with temps in the low to mid 20's. Sounds good to me.
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Correct It was a longer in duration storm and had a wider spread 30"+ area.
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Usually that frontogen ends up being on the northern and western rim of that, think back over 2 weeks ago and where the true frontogen was vs modeled by the latest models at that time.
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I think Groton, CT itself had 17-18" there in '78 if I'm not mistaken.
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I believe in some areas it will be comparable if these models hold but I don't think everywhere in Eastern MASS.
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What's interesting is that he doesn't do this so easily.
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I'm out to 42 Hours on the TT.
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I actually recognize which stations did those maps without reading the fine print. The takeaway is that their thinking similar thoughts.
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For Ray they were settled depth records, but for the official COOP data that was given they are actually a little lower but I'm not going to get into the ambiguity of snow measuring techniques either here.
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If I remember correctly, I had 25" from the storm and 27" on Ground. The other spotter in NE Wilmington recorded 24" with 27" on Gound. Reading Mass had about 24.8" with 27" on ground and East Billerica had 25.7" with 26.2" on ground. So those are the official final totals that were recorded at the time. True, it did start to sublimate quickly but it tells me that with these observations they, like me allowed it to settle somewhat before the finally reading was reported.
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I do realize that. I still think the heavier omega will be east and the orientation will be only a little different than what you have there in your forecast map. However, I don't think this Feb 13 or Jan 15 all over again exactly. I will admit where you have that band is somewhat aggressive. Everything would need to come together just right for it to pan out like that, but we'll see.
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I agree somewhat with this. I think it may tic west but not like some of the crazy stuff we saw with the UKIE and CMC just recently.
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It did very briefly in the very beginning. Then straight snow all the way through.
