
Anti tornado
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I'd say around sunday or monday...
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Still a while out so timing cant be nailed down...Sometime around april 27-29 IMO. Then again this all could just disappear in the next run.
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Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion
Anti tornado replied to andyhb's topic in Central/Western States
This is the medium to long term thread. Friday is short term -
Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion
Anti tornado replied to andyhb's topic in Central/Western States
I'm with you on this. GFS, EURO, CFS, GEFS, and CIPS all hint at a big trough. -
After reviewing more data, GFS has been consistent the past 3 days with a large scale trough in the Apr 29-30th range. Euro is not quite in range but has a large trough over the plains at hour 240. CFS has been throwing a signal as well. CIPS also shows widespread severe at hour 240. Im sure someone with more knowledge of teleconnection and general patterns can chime in but there is a pretty strong signal from all the models ive seen.
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This has shown up in several runs. Believe the end of april might be big
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Yea...just going to leave this here
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HRRR has widespread cape of >2000 around the illinois/indiana/kentucky area.
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Nam 3km...
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12z HRRRX has 1500+ cape around northwest indiana
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Im very intrigued by April 1st. I know its 324 hours out but it looks to have good potential.
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18z gfs shows a shortwave ahead of a surface on the 24th. 12z EURO indicates potential as well. The CFS chicklets have been showing potential for a while now. Both the euro and GFS have dew points of mid 50s around the i70 corridor. Figure it's worth keeping an eye on.
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System around 3/25 as modeled may offer a severe chance for the southern portion of the subforum and winter threat for northern part of forum.
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Fair enough. I knew it was warmer from a tweet I saw. Anomaly map makes more sense! Thanks!