tunafish

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Nice bump north on the 3k

Tossing for no other reason than because I don't like what it shows for mby

30.4° -SN and a quick tenth or two down in South Portland.

See if we can stave off a flip to rain here.

My coop gonna get crushed?

5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Lol that’s wild.  12-18” zone.

 

Oh my

(Toss it?)

Coop'n 

Fort'n

Smile'n

Is the antecedent airmass colder than progged up here because of the fresh snow cover?  Or does this question make a certain Tolland poster confused?

Didn't expect to be sitting at 16.2°F this early.

Just now, NW_of_GYX said:

Not sure what “satellite parallax effect” is but clearly GYX not buying these 12z solutions 

Gotta ride the hot hand.  3 for the last 3.

8 minutes ago, PWMan said:

Trying to square the GYX snowfall map and P&C forecast with everything I’m seeing here + GYX’s own AFD, which talks about heavier snow at the coast based on trends.

Checked out on this a day or two ago.  Would be a nice surprise.  Expected our pack to be wiped.

3 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Jack?

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Nice dude! Think you take this one.  Good to see a win there.

Would be a rarity to be sure.  Just happy to have warning criteria this winter.

Another 0.7" of 14:1 @ 7PM gives us 8.0" on the event.  0.87" total liquid.

Still going and accumulating, should break 8" with the 7PM obs here in PWM

18 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Still some tiny flakes in the air but accum is done, 6.5" with ratio of 12.5-to-1.  1st 5" was 11:1 but daytime feathers added 1.5" of 21:1 fluff.  17" at the stake.

Edit:  Good to see the Maine coast getting into the act.  Also saw 6.6" at the Jetport, time of obs not shown.

That's me - 6.6" was as of 7AM; 7.3" as of 1PM.

Our ratios are more what I'm accustomed to on the coast:

4:1 at midnight

9:1 at 7AM

12:1 at 1PM

Overall 9:1

Another 0.7" on 0.06" liquid at the 1PM obs

Event total 7.3" on 0.82" liquid.

Looking like we'll tack on another tenth or two before it stops.

57 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Fairly narrow swath for monday.

Need a shift for Monday.  More optimistic about Wednesday.

6.3" on 0.68" liquid new from 12-7A

6.6" total on 0.76" liquid

South Portland/PWM

32.0° SN+

0.3" new / 0.08" liquid as of midnight.

35.1° and starting out as snow

12 minutes ago, PWMan said:

East - near Pine Point 

Gotcha, good for reference.  I'm just over the SoPo line, not far from Higgins.

4 minutes ago, PWMan said:

Light rain, 37

You east or west of route 1?  I'm east, sitting at 36° with no precip yet.  

13 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Some will look at that and go wow 8-12" Were going to get a foot! No your not, You may get 9" lol

Yup.  When you go to the point, that's exactly what you see.

Relatively nuanced map from GYX for a type of system that has been reported to be uniform.  Not criticizing, just noting.

3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Remember how the pattern was going to be great in December?  We don't even have that false hope anymore...

I think the pattern in December ended up being favorable, caveats apply with NAO blocking, we just didn't luck out and cash in on the pattern.

Pattern looks good-great again post 1/25.  Hopefully our luck is better with this one than the last.

13 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Yeah, long term climo is like 11:1 for our area, 13:1 in the mountains. 

Ha, I'm jaded.  My average is based on the past 3 years of La Nina winters.  Good to know that's not our climo.

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yes.

You thinking 10:1 is a good bet on these types of systems?  My average on the coast, regardless of system, is closer to 8 or even 7:1.

13 minutes ago, PowderBeard said:

I'm thinking 4-5" here but would be very happy with the forecasted 6-8". 

 

Crystal and Crescent still are not really frozen. Wish they could. As long as the ice is gone by April I don't mind. I have couple early tournaments on Sebago and Highland Lake.

Bridgton or Windham?

2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I actually like the purple area for some paste and 

Forecast soundings are hovering near wetbulb freezing and once we get over 4 inches power outages usually spike.

Does it look like precip will start before midnight on Thursday?  WWA says late Thursday but not sure if that includes us on the coast.