Paleocene

3 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said:

Wow! LE off the finger lakes. Any radar loops showing this? Would love to check it out. Just flurries... or legit snow falling? 

I was shocked by this too, didn't think it was possible. My brother has been here a few years and said it has happened. Radar yesterday was uncanny, we were in a bubble east of Cayuga that never died. Didn't stop until 11am today. NWS tweeted about it. 3" overnight

https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSBinghamton/status/1355180976792502280

Sitting pretty on 10" of snow at my brother's north of ithaca NY tonight, gonna ride the storm out here. 24 straight hours of lake effect yesterday into today, off the finger lakes believe it or not.

NWS binghamton (jackpotville) thinks we'll get 5" plus by Tuesday. I'll take those odds up here. Hoping you all down by the cities jackpot and I drive past bare mountains in central pa. I hope when we try to get back to silver spring our driveway is covered in 12"+. Get that CCB!

Also it's cold as hell here, not above 22 since we arrived yesterday lunch time, lows in the singles. Pointed my brother's fans south for you all

It's NAM time ladies and gents! 18z shows WAA precip creeping up into central VA/ the southwest reaches of metro DC by 12z sunday. 

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Remember the snowfall doesn’t need to be particularly bad to cause a nightmare on the roads. 

Yeah, very true, especially if it's cold. Learned that lesson in 2016 before the big storm when an inch caused armaggedon in moco.

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

Yeah being stuck on the interstate in a 20 car pileup sounds like a hoot

Indeed, that's the fear. Going to see family that we haven't been able to see for a while so I don't want to cancel the trip. Worst case, we just stay there, which would be no big deal. But some of the modeling today led me to believe that the WAA snow wouldn't be terrible in PA, and could be dealt with by Sunday evening on the roads. Famous last words of course. I'll probably err on the safe side at the end.

So uh, good idea to drive from Ithaca NY to MoCo late sunday afternoon / evening during the 'lull' or bad idea? Maybe it would be a fun drive :weenie:

GFS, like NAM (and ICON), has WAA hitting the SW side of the broader metro DC area by 12z sunday.

12Z 12k NAM has the first stretch of WAA getting to our area by 12z Sunday.

Lol driving to Ithaca Friday, supposed to come back Monday. I'll be sure to schedule numerous trips out of the area so you all get more snow.

FYI, this is the hottest 850mb temp panel on the Euro.

The surface maps look warm. As in above 32 warm. I don't know what to make of that but won't post because it's anti-

YEET 

kuchera for 24 hour accums at 00z monday --- CMC --- transfer about to pop on this panel, 108

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

did every model have the Jan 2016 blockbuster 4 days out(where we are now)---i dont remember.

if you aren't paywalled, this CWG article has some model outputs from 90+ hours out. there was agreement. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/01/20/how-much-snow-are-local-forecasters-and-computer-models-predicting/

I'm taking the  way out and going to visit my brother and sister in law in Tompkins County NY (Ithaca) this weekend for 4 days. Might not get snow but high temps are forecasted in the teens, and they have snow cover. Hopefully I get hit with a HECS on i-81 headed home!

Anyone else getting more now? Pixie dust sn- flying in silver spring. Yeet

Actual honest to goodness snow in Silver Spring for the last 45 mins or so. Took a quick walk around the 'hood, it's weak but it's something. Ground coated, so are house roofs and cars. Temp 30.

1 minute ago, WEATHER53 said:

Dont think DC people will be happy about a whitening. All day this has evolved toward  a 2-3” event for most of City and to north and west  

why do you post here

This is a spicy panel on the 3k.

Holding steady at 37 in silver spring. Yeehaw

Just now, stormtracker said:

No, that's not what I'm hmm about.  Euro looks like it's heading for something big

. Indeed, a parallel hmm from me because the LP serious takes almost 2 days to move to the apps

Just now, stormtracker said:

Euro...hmmm 

That LP craaawls east. 24 hours to get from Kansas City to southern Indiana lol

37/18 in Silver Spring. Hoping that temp doesn't keep rising but we'll see.