JB Fins

Yeah, I was thinking the same. While I hate the changeover, it will be more impactful. Might give the kiddos another day of virtual learning, at least in Henrico.

Yeah, pretty sleety here, that has paved surfaces caving.

Yeah, that Route 54 pic in Ashland, just 20 min. north a stark difference to here. I am disappointed as well. We always switch over early, even since when I was a kid calling 268-1212 for the NWS forecast brought to you by C&P Telephone.

Wow, our little thread is melting down? Come on guys, it's snow. Yeah, looks like a bust, again. Yeah, they close the schools nowadays when somebody spills a slushie. Shoot, we have been in the winter desert for years, we actually have some events, be it small, but events nonetheless. I think RIC Airport is traveling to NY so limited access. I guess I could ask Mappy to come in here and drop the hammer.

Pic from a coworker in Chester, VA, been snowing there about an hour. Will monitor his reports for switchover details later.

Light snow in Tuckahoe for the last 15 minutes.

Will see what I can do about pics during breaks but will post.

I guess it would be pointless to post our obs in the main obs thread?

Flaking in Tuckahoe now, probably for about last 5-10 minutes.

Nothing in Tuckahoe yet either.

Hoping for once the switchover is delayed, we always seem to switch over earlier than forecasted. My work has gone virtual today so no good pics from downtown as it falls.

Shoot, there used to be a whole timeline on what model to use when but I think even recent changes have messed that up over the years as it was always the biggies first and then when it got to 48-72 hours it was the NAM, as that was its sweet spot, then SREF and HRRR inside 48.

The HRRR - high resolution rapid refresh. Short range model that I think gets used around here inside 48 hours, just basing that on memory and a quick google.

Yep

Wow, trying to remember a battle between the models this far apart so close to the onset of an event.

Wife just got home from JMU visiting daughter, treating roads all the way home on 64. No surprise to maintain budgetary numbers but just sharing. As far as the main board or thread goes, thanks again to RIC Airport for keeping this thread alive when Midlo dialed it back to do, I am sure, more important things, than moderate the occasional train wreck. What grates my cheese, and it has been this way a long time, the folks that preach no regionalism hate from time to time, are some of the biggest offenders. As stated, it's weather, it's going to weather. Don't tell us to move, kids and life events make that impossible for most. So, that is why sometimes, I root for us to jackpot and for them to get shut out although, it is a lot more fun when everybody scores even our more further south bretheren.

Wow, aggressive call this early from 12. I mean, they usually hold off on a map until closer I thought.

Sign me up. Wish it was only 48 hours out.

Yep, we have lived this since the days on Eastern. Shoot, started there on early 2000's and it was the same then, EURO>GFS>NAM>UKMET>CMC YOU ALWAYS WANT THE EURO IN YOUR CORNER.

I dunno, looks like the GFS threw us some scraps, 2", while DC gets 1996 totals. Seems about on track for our playbook. Damn, I gotta stop being so Eeyore.

Yeah, I am down. I just feel like when I posted a few days ago, we have seen this movie over and over. Jackpot zone only to have the models get a better handle on things and we end up fringed, mixing or just plain rain. 34 degrees and a thunderstorm in RVA just sums it up. Or last week's rain on Jan. 31st, just a waste of precipitation. I hope I am wrong but this way I am pleasantly surprised if anything good happens, otherwise I am dubious. I am also one of those jerks that when it's March, I just rather have spring.

It's really all up to Dr. No, if memory serves, and given my age it has been spotty lately, the GFS has been jackpotting us only to cave, not totally, but enough, to the Euro. Would love for GFS to score a coup but history, and this season, suggests we need some Euro love to score.

I know, why do I always feel like we need Raleigh in the bullseye this far out? Maybe Lucy let's us kick the ball this time. Feeling lucky.

All good as you are not a regional snob like others and I depend on you guys for the knowledge. I just need Bob Chill to weigh in, then I know a threat is real. Then, if we get Midlo to post, I will go oil my shovel. Thanks for all that you do to keep this board going. Of course, rooting for everybody to score a big one.

Ah, I missed it, must have jumped ship early. Now go take some Advil for that hangover. All the best tracker, you are the best in that thread.